| MATCHUP | Golden Bears California | Aztecs San Diego State |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Where | Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA | |
| When | Saturday, September 20, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
The Cal Golden Bears and San Diego State Aztecs meet Saturday in college football action at Snapdragon Stadium. Here’s a California vs San Diego State Prediction. This article will include a California vs San Diego State Pick.
Cal Golden Bears Betting Preview
The Cal Golden Bears beat Texas Southern and Minnesota, and they play Boston College next. Cal has won 6 of its last 9 games. Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele is completing 67 percent of his passes for 780 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Trond Grizzell and Jacob De Jesus have combined for 324 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Mark Hamper has 9 receptions.
The Cal Golden Bears ground game is averaging 121.3 yards per contest, and Kendrick Raphael leads the way with 201 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Cal is allowing 10.7 points and 280 yards per game. Luke Ferrelli leads the Cal Golden Bears with 27 tackles, TJ Bush Jr. has 2 sacks and Hezekiah Masses has 3 interceptions.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs beat Stony Brook, lost to Washington State, and they play Northern Illinois next. San Diego State has lost 7 of its last 8 games. Jayden Denegal is completing 50.9 percent of his passes for 340 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jacob Bostick and Jordan Napier have combined for 188 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Mikey Welsh has 1 reception.
The San Diego State Aztecs ground game is averaging 155 yards per contest, and Lucky Sutton leads the way with 188 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 8 points and 245.5 yards per game. Tano Letuli leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 19 tackles, August Salvati has 1.5 sacks and Dalesean Staley has 3 pass deflections.
California Golden Bears @ San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won 12 of its last 16 home games against teams from California.
- California has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
- San Diego State has covered the spread in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
Why the California Golden Bears will win
- San Diego State has lost each of its last seven September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- California has won each of its last nine September games as a favorite.
- California has covered the spread in each of its last four games as a road favorite.
- San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog.
- California has won the first half in each of its last three games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of California’s last five games against teams from California have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of San Diego State’s last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
San Diego State Aztecs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Lucky Sutton leads San Diego State for touchdowns (2) this season.
California Golden Bears Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Hezekiah Masses leads the league for interceptions (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Diego State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (34).
- San Diego State ranks T128th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.0).
- California ranks T10th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (3.3).
- California is one of 13 FBS teams to score in every quarter this season.
California vs San Diego State Prediction
Cal looks like the better team and should be favored, but the Golden Bears are also 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a double-digit favorite since 2019. San Diego State looked awful against Washington State, but it’s at home now and has had an extra week to prepare for this game. There’s value getting a home dog with the rest advantage. San Diego State has covered 8 of its last 13 games as a double-digit underdog. Cal has had issues running the ball through three games which isn’t ideal on the road. I’ll take a shot with San Diego State and the points.