Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State Prediction 9/27/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Sep 6, 2025; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders quarterback Nicholas Vattiato (11) throws a pass during the first quarter against the Wisconsin Badgers at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Blue Raiders Middle Tennessee
Owls Kennesaw State
Team Records
1-4
3-2
Where
Fifth Third Stadium, Kennesaw, GA
Time
Sep 27th, 10:00 PM Z
TV
ESPN+
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and the Kennesaw State Owls meet in week 5 college football action from Fifth Third Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owls prediction.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Recap
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders come into this game looking to rebound from a 42-28 loss at the hands of the Marshall Thundering Herd to sit at 1-3 this season. After this game, Middle Tennessee will head home for a game against Missouri State.
Blue Raiders Looking To Rebound
Nicholas Vattiato has thrown for 847 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 56.6% passing while Jekail Middlebrook leads the Blue Raiders with 231 rushing yards as well on the year. Nazhae Cox leads Middle Tennessee with 20 grabs for 264 yards and 4 touchdowns while Myles Butler has 152 receiving yards as well this season. Two more Blue Raiders also have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Parker Hughes has a team-high 35 total tackles including 21 solo tackles while Muaaz Byard has 25 total tackles with 12 solo tackles. Zeion Simpson-Smith and Damonte Smith each have a pair of sacks and Juwon Gaston has a pair of interceptions.
Kennesaw State Owls Recap
The Kennesaw State Owls come into this game looking to add on to their 28-21 win over Arkansas State last time out to sit at 2-2 this season. After this game, Kennesaw State will take on Louisiana Tech in a game at home.
Owls Looking To Get Back Above .500
Amari Odom has thrown for 592 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 73.4% passing while Dexter Williams II has thrown for 236 yards and a pick on 42.3% passing. Coleman Bennett has a team-high 191 rushing yards with 2 touchdowns while Odom has 128 rushing yards and 2 scores and Alexander Diggs has 150 rushing yards with a TD. Gabriel Benyard has a team-high 18 grabs for 322 yards and 2 TDs while Christian Moss has 17 catches for 206 yards Lyndon Ravare has 136 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Baron Hopson has a team-high 36 total tackles including 14 solo tackles while Kennesaw State’s defense as a whole has combined for 9 sacks this season, led by Elijah Hill’s 2.5 sacks.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Kennesaw State Owls Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Kennesaw State Owls will win
The home team has won each of Kennesaw State’s last six games.
Middle Tennessee has lost eight of its last nine games in September.
Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
Kennesaw State has covered the spread in each of its last three home games against conference opponents.
Middle Tennessee has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win
Kennesaw State has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents.
The road team has won six of Middle Tennessee’s last eight games.
The underdog has covered the spread in each of Kennesaw State’s last five games at Fifth Third Stadium.
Kennesaw State has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
Each of Kennesaw State’s last five September games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Six of Middle Tennessee’s last seven September road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Kennesaw State Owls Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 5, Gabriel Benyard leads the Conference USA for receiving yards (322) this season.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 5, Rickey Hunt Jr. ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
Kennesaw State ranks T133rd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (0.8).
Kennesaw State ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.3).
Middle Tennessee ranks 134th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (64.0).
Middle Tennessee ranks T132nd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (100.0).
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owls Prediction
I’m on Kennesaw State here. I get the case to be made for Middle Tennessee after looking more impressive offensively in a lot of their recent outings, but that being said, they’re still arguably one of the worst teams in C-USA, which by a lot of metrics is viewed as the worst group of 5 conference out there. Kennesaw State really showed me something last time out against Arkansas State and I think they build on that with a win and cover at home here.
