| MATCHUP | Aztecs San Diego State | Huskies Northern Illinois |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Where | Huskie Stadium, Dekalb, IL | |
| Time | Sep 27th, 7:30 PM Z | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
The San Diego State Aztecs and the Northern Illinois Huskies meet in week 5 college football action from Huskie Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego State Aztecs vs. Northern Illinois Huskies prediction.
San Diego State Aztecs Recap
The San Diego State Aztecs come into this game looking to add on to their 34-0 win over Cal last time out to sit at 2-1 this season. After this game, San Diego State will head home for a game against Colorado State.
Aztecs Coming Off Of Huge Shutout Of Golden Bears
Jayden Denegal has thrown for 529 yards and 3 touchdowns on 58.9% passing while Lucky Sutton leads the Aztecs on the ground with 249 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns so far this season. Jordan Napier leads San Diego State in receiving with 19 grabs for 241 yards and a touchdown while Jacob Bostick also has 126 receiving yards on 10 catches with 2 touchdowns. On defense, Owen Chambliss has a team-high 23 total tackles including 16 solo tackles while August Salvati has a team-high 3.5 sacks so far this season.
Northern Illinois Huskies Recap
The Northern Illinois Huskies come into this one looking to rebound from their 38-10 loss at the hands of the Mississippi State Bulldogs last time out to sit at 1-2 this season. After this game, Northern Illinois will head home for a game against Miami-Ohio.
Huskies Drop Back-To-Back Outings
Josh Holst has thrown for 327 yards a touchdown and 2 interceptions on 63.5% passing while Chavon Wright leads the Huskies in rushing with 214 yards and a touchdown and Telly Johnson Jr. has 199 rushing yards with a touchdown as well this season. DeAree Rogers has a team-high 16 catches for 173 yards as well this season. On defense, Quinn Urwiler has a team-high 34 total tackles including 17 solo tackles while NIU’s defense as a whole has combined for 4 sacks and an interception so far this season.
San Diego State Aztecs @ Northern Illinois Huskies Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Northern Illinois Huskies will win
- San Diego State has lost each of its last seven road games in September.
- The home team has won five of San Diego State’s last six games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of Northern Illinois’ last four games at Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium.
- San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in 16 of its last 20 September games as a favorite.
- San Diego State has lost the first half in four of its last five road games against non-conference opponents.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- Northern Illinois has lost each of its last eight September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won each of Northern Illinois’ last eight games.
- Northern Illinois has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six home games.
- San Diego State has covered the spread in each of its last four games against opponents from the Mid-American Conference.
- Northern Illinois has lost the first half in each of its last four games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Northern Illinois’ last eight games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of San Diego State’s last five road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Northern Illinois Huskies Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Chavon Wright leads Northern Illinois for touchdowns (1) this season.
San Diego State Aztecs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Chris Johnson leads the Mountain West Conference for forced fumbles (1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Northern Illinois ranks 135th among FBS teams for points per game this season (12.7).
- Northern Illinois ranks 135th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (44).
- San Diego State ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- San Diego State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (49).
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Northern Illinois Huskies Prediction
I’m on San Diego State here. I just don’t trust Northern Illinois offensively. Granted, boith of these teams have struggled mostly in their step up spots this season, but it’s also worth remembering that this is a Northern Illinois team that almost lost outright to Holy Cross to start the year. San Diego State has to really show something on the road, but I’ve been a lot more impressed with what I’ve seen from the Aztecs to this point and I think San Diego State gets the win and cover on the road here. Give me San Diego State.