Tennessee-Martin vs Missouri State Prediction 9/20/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The UT-Martin Skyhawks and the Missouri State Bears meet in week 4 college football action from Robert W. Plaster Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UT-Martin Skyhawks vs. Missouri State Bears prediction.

UT-Martin Skyhawks Recap

The UT-Martin Skyhawks come into this game looking to bounce back from a 37-10 loss at the hands of Southern Illinois last time out to fall to 0-3 this season. After this game, UT-Martin will head home for a game against SE Missouri State.

Skyhawks Looking For Upset For First Win

Jase Bauer has thrown for 516 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 69.2% passing while John Gentry has a team-high 125 rushing yards. Bryce Bailey has a team-high 12 receptions for 179 yards this season. On defense, Jacob Stevenson has a team-high 23 total tackles including 13 solo tackles while Josh Hastings has 21 total tackles including 12 solo tackles. Shamari Weir and Keyshawn Johnson each have a pair of sacks as well this season.

Missouri State Bears Recap

The Missouri State Bears come into this game looking to rebound from a 28-10 loss at the hands of SMU last time out to sit at 1-2 this season. After this game, the Bears will take on Western Kentucky at home.

Bears Alternate Wins & Losses In 3 Straight

Jacob Clark has thrown for 781 yards, 5 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 65.2% passing while Shomari Lawrence leads the Bears on the ground with 143 rushing yards. Ramone Green Jr. has a team-high 164 receiving yards and 9 receptions with a touchdown while Jmariyae Robinson also has 9 receptions as well for 164 yards and a touchdown. Dash Luke also has a team-high 10 grabs for 129 yards and a touchdown and Tristian Gardner has 104 receiving yards and a TD this season. On defense, Maguire Neal has a team-high 17 total tackles while Christian Ford and Thomas Anderson each have a team-high 12 total tackles. Mitchell Toney also has a pair of sacks for the Missouri State defense. 

UT Martin Skyhawks @ Missouri State Bears Betting Trends: Week 4

Why the UT Martin Skyhawks will win

• Missouri State has lost the first half in each of its last three games against non-conference opponents.

Missouri State Bears Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Jordan Dunbar leads the Conference USA for forced fumbles (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Missouri State ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (19.7).
• Missouri State ranks 136th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (24.3).

UT-Martin Skyhawks vs. Missouri State Bears Prediction

I’m on Missouri State here. I just think that Missouri State’s the far better team in this matchup, and this is a good spot for them to pick up a feel good win ahead of conference play, and I just think that UT-Martin is a below average FCS team here. Give me Missouri State.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Missouri State -13.5