Grambling State (10-21) vs Alabama A&M (10-21)
Game Info: Tuesday, March 11, 2025 at 2:00 pm (Gateway Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: Grambling State -5.5 — Over/Under: 132.5
The Alabama A&M Bulldogs are facing the Grambling Tigers on Tuesday, March 11th at the Gateway Center Arena, in this SWAC first-round matchup between the 8th seed and the 9th seed of the conference. The winner of this single-elimination game will face Southern in the quarterfinals on Wednesday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs Grambling Tigers Prediction. We will examine:
The Grambling Tigers’ recent form and player performance
The Alabama A&M Bulldogs’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Grambling Tigers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alabama A&M Bulldogs
Recent betting trends in games played between the Alabama A&M Bulldogs and Grambling Tigers
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs Grambling Tigers game
Grambling Tigers Preview
The Grambling Tigers finished the regular season with a 10-21 record and were placed 8th in the SWAC. Grambling is coming off a 47-59 loss to Alabama State. The Tigers are 11-17 against the spread, and 12-16 in over/under.
Offensively, Grambling is averaging 66.8 points per game, which ranks 335th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.4 points per game (70th). The Tigers shoot 43.3% from the field (265th) and 33.9% from beyond the arc (194th). The Tigers shoot 72% from the free-throw line (188th) and are grabbing 33.5 rebounds per game (282nd).
Kintavious Dozier leads Grambling in scoring with an average of 12.1 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Antwan Burnett adds 10.6 points and a team-high 5.5 rebounds per game.
Alabama A&M Bulldogs Preview
The Alabama A&M Bulldogs finished the regular season with a 10-20 record and were placed 9th in the SWAC. Alabama A&M is coming off a 57-71 loss to Southern. The Bulldogs are 8-19 against the spread, and 14-13 in over/under.
Offensively, Alabama A&M is averaging 73.6 points per game, which ranks 195th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 79 points per game (339th). The Bulldogs shoot 40.6% from the field (352nd) and 31.3% from beyond the arc (316th). The Bulldogs shoot 66.2% from the free-throw line (338th) and are grabbing 36.8 rebounds per game (100th).
Anthony Bryant leads Alabama A&M in scoring this season, with an average of 14.2 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Chad Moodie adds 11.1 points and a team-high 5.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Grambling State Tigers will win
- Alabama A&M has lost each of its last seven day games.
- Grambling State has won seven of its last eight games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference at neutral venues.
- Alabama A&M has lost the first half in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Why the Alabama A&M Bulldogs will win
- Grambling State has lost seven of its last eight day games.
- Grambling State has lost the first half in each of its last four games played at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Alabama A&M’s last eight Conference Tournament games have produced a total of 133+ points.
- Each of Grambling State’s last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 133+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Grambling State ranks 38th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (19.5).
- Alabama A&M ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (27.2).
- Alabama A&M ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (16.1).
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs Grambling Tigers Prediction
Grambling is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against Alabama A&M, and are 6-3 against the spread in their last 9 meetings. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings, and Grambling has won both meetings against Alabama A&M this season. At home by 67-51 and on the road by 72-61, covering the spread in both, as both games went under the point total.
In this Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs Grambling Tigers Prediction, Grambling is coming as -5.5-point favorites. Both teams have almost identical records this season, but Grambling has been better on the road with 5 wins this season, while Alabama A&M struggled mightily away from home, having just two wins in 13 matches. Both teams are coming in this matchup in poor form, as Grambling is 1-4 in their last 5 games and 1-4 against the spread, while Alabama A&M is 3-7 in their last 10 games and 2-8 against the spread, so there is no value on either side. Both teams have been playing some lower-scoring games lately, as they are a perfect 8-0 to the under in their last 8 games combined, and both of their meetings this season also went under the total. I expect another low-scoring game in this single-elimination matchup, so give me the under.