Mississippi Valley State (3-22) vs Alabama State (11-14)
Game Info: Monday, February 17, 2025 at 7:00 pm (R.W. Harrison HPER Complex)
The Line: Betting Odds: Mississippi Valley State +17.5 — Over/Under: 138.5
The Alabama State Hornets are visiting the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils on Monday, February 17th at the Harrison HPER Complex. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Alabama State Hornets vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Prediction. We will examine:
The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils’ recent form and player performance
The Alabama State Hornets’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alabama State Hornets
Recent betting trends in games played between the Alabama State Hornets and Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Alabama State Hornets vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils game
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Preview
The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils have a 3-22 record this season and are sitting in 11th place in the SWAC. Mississippi Valley State is coming off a 70-82 loss in Alabama A&M. The Delta Devils are 9-14 against the spread, and 11-12 in over/under, while having a 2-5 home record.
Offensively, Mississippi Valley State is averaging 53.8 points per game, which ranks dead last in the nation. Defensively, they allow 82.5 points per game, which is just 357th nationally. The Delta Devils shoot 38.9% from the field, which is the second-worst nationally, and 27.7% from beyond the arc (360th). The Delta Devils shoot 66.7% from the free-throw line (328th) and are grabbing 27.8 rebounds per game, which is just 362nd in the nation.
Arthur Tate leads Mississippi Valley State in scoring with an average of 10.5 points and 3 rebounds, while Alvin Stredic adds 9.7 points per game and a team-high 5 rebounds per game.
Alabama State Hornets Preview
The Alabama State Hornets have an 11-14 record this season and are sitting in 7th place in the SWAC. Alabama State is coming off a 75-63 win over Arkansas Pine Bluff. The Hornets are 8-14-2 against the spread, and 11-12-1 in over/under while having a 3-10 road record.
Offensively, Alabama State is averaging 74.5 points per game, which is 174th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 76.4 points per game (305th). The Hornets shoot 40.8% from the field (341st) and 32.9% from beyond the arc (247th). The Hornets shoot 67.5% from the free-throw line (312th) and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game (154th).
Ammar Knox leads Alabama State in scoring with an average of 15.2 points, while CJ Hines adds 14.7 points and 3.2 rebounds per game. Alabama State will face Florida A&M following this one.
Why the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils will win
- The home team has won four of the last five games between Alabama State and Mississippi Valley State.
- Alabama State has lost three of its last four night games following a road win.
- The home team has won the first half in each of the last five games between Alabama State and Mississippi Valley State.
Why the Alabama State Hornets will win
- Mississippi Valley State has lost 30 of its last 32 games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference.
- Alabama State has won six of its last seven games at R.W. Harrison HPER Complex.
- Mississippi Valley State has lost the first half in 19 of its last 23 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Alabama State’s last five road games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
- Eight of the last 10 games between Alabama State and Mississippi Valley State at R.W. Harrison HPER Complex have produced a total of 143+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Mississippi Valley State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (53.8).
- Mississippi Valley State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (-28.8).
- Alabama State ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (40.7).
- Alabama State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.4%).
Alabama State Hornets vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Prediction
Alabama State is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against Mississippi Valley State, but Mississippi Valley State is 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 meetings. Under is 3-0 in their last 3 meetings, and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, Alabama State won 84-55 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.
In this Alabama State Hornets vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Prediction, Alabama State is coming as -17.5 road favorites. Alabama State is rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season, but they are just 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games, while Mississippi Valley State is 3-0 against the spread in their last 3 games, so I’m going to pass on the side. The Hornets are 4-0 to the under in their last 4 road games and are up against a Mississippi Valley State that has the worst offense in the nation. Their last three meetings between those two teams went under the total, including their previous meeting this season. Points will be at a premium in this game, so take the under.