Mississippi Valley State (3-26) vs Alcorn State (9-20)
Game Info: Thursday, March 6, 2025 at 8:30 pm (R.W. Harrison HPER Complex)
The Line: Betting Odds: Mississippi Valley State +18.5 — Over/Under: 127.5
The Alcorn State Braves are visiting the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils on Thursday, March 6th at the Harrison HPER Complex. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Alcorn State Braves vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Prediction. We will examine:
The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils’ recent form and player performance
The Alcorn State Braves’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alcorn State Braves
Recent betting trends in games played between the Alcorn State Braves and Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Alcorn State Braves vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils game
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Preview
The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils have a 3-26 record this season and are sitting in 12th place in the SWAC. Mississippi Valley State is coming off a 58-83 loss to Arkansas Pine Bluff. The Delta Devils are 10-17 against the spread, and 12-15 in over/under, while having a 2-7 home record.
Offensively, Mississippi Valley State is averaging 53.5 points per game, which ranks dead last in the nation. Defensively, they allow 81.7 points per game, which is just 357th nationally. The Delta Devils shoot 38.5% from the field, which is the second-worst nationally, and 28.3% from beyond the arc, which is also the second-worst in the nation. The Delta Devils shoot 65.6% from the free-throw line (346th) and are grabbing 278.2 rebounds per game, which is just 361st in the nation.
Arthur Tate leads Mississippi Valley State in scoring with an average of 9.5 points and 2.7 rebounds, while Alvin Stredic adds 9.4 points per game and a team-high 5.2 rebounds per game.
Alcorn State Braves Preview
The Alcorn State Braves have a 9-20 record this season and are sitting in 7th place in the SWAC. Alcorn State is coming off a 59-75 loss to Texas Southern. The Braves are 18-9-1 against the spread, and 11-16-1 in over/under, while having a 3-17 road record.
Offensively, Alcorn State is averaging just 65 points per game, which is just 353rd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.8 points per game (205th). The Braves shoot 40.86% from the field, which is just 351st in the whole nation, and 32% from beyond the arc (297th). The Braves shoot 71.8% from the free-throw line (202nd) and are grabbing 33.9 rebounds per game (265th).
Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt leads Alcorn State in scoring with an average of 11.2 points and a team-high 3 assists per game, while Marcus Tankersley adds 10.6 points per game.
Why the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils will win
- Alcorn State has lost 17 of its last 20 road games.
- The home team has won 23 of Alcorn State’s last 29 games.
- The home team has won the first half in 24 of Mississippi Valley State’s last 30 games.
Why the Alcorn State Braves will win
- Alcorn State has won each of its last 11 games against Mississippi Valley State.
- Mississippi Valley State has lost 19 of its last 20 games.
- Mississippi Valley State has lost the first half in each of its last seven games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Alcorn State’s last 12 Thursday games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference has produced a total of 130+ points.
- Each of Mississippi Valley State’s last three home night games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference have produced a total of 135+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Mississippi Valley State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (53.5).
- Mississippi Valley State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (-28.1).
- Alcorn State ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (49.8%).
- Alcorn State ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (10.2).
Alcorn State Braves vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Prediction
Alcorn State has won its last 10 meetings against Mississippi Valley State, but Mississippi Valley State is 6-4 against the spread. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Alcorn State won 86-39 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.
In this Alcorn State Braves vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Prediction, Alcorn State is coming as -18.5 road favorites. Alcorn State is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, but both teams have been terrible. Alcorn State has been playing a bit better lately, as they are 5-3 in their last 8 games and 7-3 against the spread, but I don’t trust them as huge road favorites. Both teams have been terrible offensively, as they score 118.5 points per game combined, and are 8-3-1 to the under in their last 12 games combined. Their previous meeting this season was an extremely low-scoring one, and I expect more of the same today. Take the under.