San Diego State (21-8) vs Boise State (22-9)
Game Info: Thursday, March 13, 2025 at 5:30 pm (Thomas & Mack Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego State +1 — Over/Under: 134.5
The Boise State Broncos and San Diego State Aztecs meet on Thursday in college basketball action at Thomas & Mack Center. Here’s a Boise State vs San Diego State prediction. This article will include a Boise State vs San Diego State Pick.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos (22-9, 16-14 ATS) have been playing very well recently as they recorded nine wins in the previous 11 games. One of these two losses, interestingly, came against San Diego State, while the other was on the final day of the regular season to Colorado State. Boise State was on a five-game winning run before the loss to the Rams. The Broncos finished in 5th place in the Mountain West Standings.
Boise State is averaging 76.0 PPG (123rd) and is allowing 66.3 PPG (37th). The Broncos are getting 36.3 RPG (144th) and dish out 14.6 APG (127th). Tyson Degenhart is the team’s top performer with 17.8 PPG and a team-high 6.1 RPG. Andrew Meadow has 12.6 PPG and 4.4 RPG, while Alvaro Cardenas contributes 12.0 PPG, 3.4 RPG, a team-high 6.9 APG, and a team-high 1.5 SPG.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs (21-8, 12-16 ATS) are also in fine form over the last couple of months. The Aztecs won ten of the last 13 games, including three of the past four. San Diego State beat New Mexico, Wyoming, and Nevada, while losing to UNLV during this stretch. San Diego State entered the conference tournament as the No. 4 seed.
San Diego State averages 71.5 PPG (263rd) and allows 63.7 PPG (14th). The Aztecs are 184th in rebounds (35.7) and 246th in assists (12.2). Nick Boyd leads the team with 13.2 PPG, 3.9 RPG, a team-high 4.0 APG, and 1.0 SPG. Miles Byrd follows him with 12.8 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 2.8 APG, a team-high 2.1 SPG, and 1.0 BPG, while BJ Davis chips in 9.1 PPG, 3.0 RPG, and 1.6 SPG.
Why Boise State will beat San Diego State
- Boise State has won six of its last seven day games against the Mountain West Conference.
- Boise State has won the first half in 11 of its last 13 day games against Conference opponents.
Why San Diego State will beat Boise State
- San Diego State has won each of its last eight Thursday games against Conference opponents.
- Boise State has lost eight of its last nine Thursday games played at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Diego State’s last six games has produced a total of 138+ points.
- Ten of Boise State’s last 11 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 136+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Diego State ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.6).
- San Diego State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.79).
- Boise State ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.2).
- Boise State ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (17.1).
Boise State vs San Diego State Prediction
Boise State won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but San Diego State was better in both duels this season, covering them in the process. Eight of ten H2Hs went Under, and instead of picking a winner of this clash, I will opt for points and a low-scoring affair. I see both sides score no more than 65 points, and only an eventual overtime could prevent us from winning this bet. Boise State has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of its last 32 games, while the Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their previous 32 games. Expect strong defense from both teams and back Under.