Oklahoma State (15-16) vs Cincinnati (17-14)
Game Info: Tuesday, March 11, 2025 at 12:30 pm (T-Mobile Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: Oklahoma State +6.5 — Over/Under: 138.5
The Cincinnati Bearcats and Oklahoma State Cowboys meet on Tuesday in college basketball action at T-Mobile Center. Here’s a Cincinnati vs Oklahoma State prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati vs Oklahoma State Pick.
Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bearcats (17-14, 13-16-2 ATS) finished the regular season with three straight losses, one of which was to Oklahoma State. After defeating TCU and Baylor at home, Cincinnati lost to Houston, Kansas State, and Oklahoma State. The Bearcats ended the regular season in 12th place in the Big 12 Standings with the same record as UCF and Oklahoma State.
Cincinnati is averaging 70.5 PPG (290th) and is allowing 65.3 PPG (26th). The Bearcats are getting 34.7 RPG (247th) and dish out 13.7 APG (198th). Jizzle James is the team’s top performer with 12.9 PPG, 3.1 RPG, and a team-high 3.7 APG. Simas Lukosius has 10.6 PPG, 2.9 RPG, and 2.3 SPG, while Dillon Mitchell contributes 9.5 PPG, a team-high 6.5 RPG, and a team-high 1.3 SPG.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview
The Oklahoma State Cowboys (15-16, 14-17 ATS) are not playing well in 2025 and failed to get two wins in a row since late December. They managed to close out the regular season with a home victory over Cincinnati, following a pair of road defeats to Baylor and UCF. Prior to those losses, Oklahoma State surprised the No. 9 ranked team Iowa State, which was the Cowboys’ lone win over a ranked team this year. Oklahoma State finished in 14th place in the Big 12 Standings.
Oklahoma State averages 72.7 PPG (224th) and allows 76.2 PPG (298th). The Cowboys are 236th in rebounds (34.8) and 294th in assists (12.6). Abou Ousmane leads the team with 12.5 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 1.1 SPG, and 1.0 BPG. Bryce Thompson follows him with 12.4 PPG and 2.7 RPG, a team-high 4.3 APG, while Marchelus Avery chips in 11.6 PPG and 4.4 RPG.
Why Oklahoma State will cover
- Cincinnati has lost four of its last five day games against the Big 12 Conference.
- Oklahoma State has won each of its last three day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Oklahoma State’s last nine games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 142+ points.
- Five of Cincinnati’s last six games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Oklahoma State ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (8.9).
- Oklahoma State ranks T28th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.7).
- Cincinnati ranks T11th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (13.8).
- Cincinnati ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (10.5).
Cincinnati vs Oklahoma State Prediction
Oklahoma State won both H2H duels thus far, including the one they played this season when it was 78-67, covering a +3.5 spread in the process. Neither team impressed me recently and it seems like a coin toss for me who is going to win this game. However, even though Cincinnati is a favorite, I believe Oklahoma State will put up a fight and stay close late in the tilt. Cincinnati has only covered the Spread in 16 of its last 37 games. Don’t expect a bunch of points. It’s going to be a hard-fought affair, and perhaps the Bearcats will prevail because of a stronger defense, but I am going with the Cowboys to cover.