Oklahoma (17-12) vs Missouri (21-8)
Game Info: Wednesday, March 5, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Lloyd Noble Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: Oklahoma +4.5 — Over/Under: 160.5
The Missouri Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners meet on Wednesday in college basketball action at Lloyd Noble Center. Here’s a Missouri vs Oklahoma Prediction. This article will include a Missouri vs Oklahoma Pick.
Missouri Tigers Betting Preview
The Missouri Tigers (21-8, 17-12 ATS) responded to a pair of straight defeats to Tennessee and Texas A&M with three consecutive wins. The Tigers beat Oklahoma, Georgia, and No. 4 ranked Alabama but then lost two of the following three games, including the most recent one to Vanderbilt in overtime. Missouri is 5th in the SEC Standings, six games ahead of Oklahoma and 4.5 behind the leaders Auburn.
Missouri is averaging 84.6 PPG (8th) and is allowing 71.8 PPG (183rd). The Tigers are getting 34.2 RPG (277th) and dish out 14.1 APG (172nd). Caleb Grill is the team’s top scorer with 14.3 PPG, 3.6 RPG, and 1.8 SPG. Mark Mitchell adds 13.9 PPG, 4.7 RPG, and 1.0 SPG, while Tamar Bates contributes 13.3 PPG, 2.7 RPG, and 1.5 SPG.
Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview
The Oklahoma Sooners (17-12, 14-15 ATS) continued in March where they left off in February. The Sooners are going through their worst period of the season; they lost seven of the previous eight games and recorded just two wins in February. Oklahoma snapped a five-game losing skid with a win over Mississippi State but returned to losing ways against Kentucky and Ole Miss. Oklahoma is 14th in the SEC Standings, 2.5 games wins ahead of the bottom-placed South Carolina.
Oklahoma averages 78.1 PPG (81st) and allows 74.3 PPG (257th). The Sooners are 367th in rebounds (32.3) and 203rd in assists (13.7). Jalon Moore leads the team with 16.6 PPG and a team-high 5.7 RPG. Jeremiah Fears follows him with 15.9 PPG, 4.1 RPG, a team-high 4.1 APG, and a team-high 1.6 SPG, while Duke Miles has 10.1 PPG, 2.5 RP, 2.2 APG, and 1.5 SPG.
Why Missouri will beat Oklahoma
- Oklahoma has lost nine of its last 10 night games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Missouri has won 13 of its last 16 night games.
- Missouri has won the first half in seven of its last eight night games against the Southeastern Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Thirty-nine of Oklahoma’s last 43 night games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.
- Each of Missouri’s last five games has produced a total of 161+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Oklahoma ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (17.2).
- Oklahoma ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (59.9%).
- Missouri ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.9).
- Missouri ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (122.9).
Missouri vs Oklahoma Prediction
Missouri is fighting to remain in 5th position for the conference championship but could also move to 4th with two wins in the remaining two games. Oklahoma doesn’t have a big motivation considering the Sooners will probably stay 14th. Also, their recent form and seven losses in eight games is problematic. Oklahoma lost three of the previous four at home. In the first H2H meeting of the season, Missouri dismantled Oklahoma 82-58. Oklahoma has only covered the Spread in 14 of its last 32 games. I am going with Missouri to win and cover.