Louisiana Tech (19-10) vs New Mexico State (16-13)
Game Info: Thursday, March 6, 2025 at 7:30 pm (Thomas Assembly Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: Louisiana Tech -4.5 — Over/Under: 132.5
The New Mexico State Aggies are visiting the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs on Thursday, March 6th at the Thomas Assembly Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico State Aggies vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Prediction. We will examine:
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs’ recent form and player performance
The New Mexico State Aggies’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New Mexico State Aggies
Recent betting trends in games played between the New Mexico State Aggies and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the New Mexico State Aggies vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs game
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Preview
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have a 19-10 record this season and are sitting in 6th place in the USA. Mississippi Valley State is coming off a 90-66 win over Sam Houston. The Bulldogs are 15-10-1 against the spread, and 13-13 in over/under, while having a 10-3 home record.
Offensively, New Mexico State is averaging 74.4 points per game, which ranks 166th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.5 points per game (75th). The Bulldogs shoot 47.2% from the field (46th) and 34.2% from beyond the arc (177th). The Bulldogs shoot 76% from the free-throw line (47th), and they are grabbing 36 rebounds per game (140th).
Daniel Batcho leads Louisiana Tech in scoring with an average of 17.3 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Amaree Abram adds 12.4 points per game and 4.6 rebounds per game.
New Mexico State Aggies Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies have a 16-13 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the USA. New Mexico State is coming off a 65-47 win over Western Kentucky. The Aggies are 12-14 against the spread, and 7-19 in over/under, while having a 7-5 road record.
Offensively, New Mexico State is averaging 69.5 points per game, which ranks 297th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 65.5 points per game (30th). The Aggies shoot 41.6% from the field (335th) and 31.9% from beyond the arc (301st). The Aggies shoot 68.1% from the free-throw line (312th), and they are grabbing 37.4 rebounds per game (73rd).
Christian Cook leads New Mexico State in scoring with an average of 13.2 points per game, while Peter Filipovity adds 12.5 points and a team-high 8.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs will win
- Louisiana Tech has won eight of its last nine night games at Thomas Assembly Center.
- The home team has won the first half in four of the last five games between New Mexico State and Louisiana Tech.
Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win
- New Mexico State has won each of its last six games following a home win.
- Louisiana Tech has lost three of its last four night games.
- New Mexico State has won the first half in each of its last six games against the Conference USA.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of New Mexico State’s last 10 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 129 or fewer points.
- Seven of Louisiana Tech’s last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Thomas Assembly Center have produced a total of 140+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Louisiana Tech ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (31.8).
- Louisiana Tech ranks 48th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (76.0%).
- New Mexico State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (28.3%).
- New Mexico State ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (39.4%).
New Mexico State Aggies vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Prediction
New Mexico State is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against Louisiana Tech, but Louisiana Tech is 3-2 against the spread in their last 5 games. Under is 3-0 in their last 3 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, New Mexico State won 78-48 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.
In this New Mexico State Aggies vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Prediction, Louisiana Tech is coming as a -4.5 home favorites. Louisiana Tech is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and have been very good at home, while New Mexico State has also been above average on the road. the Bulldogs have failed to cover the spread in their last three home games, while the Aggies are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 overall games and 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 road games. New Mexico State has also destroyed Louisiana Tech in their previous meeting this season by 30 points, and given both teams’ current form, I expect them to do so again on the road. Take the New Mexico State Aggies and get the plus points on the road.