Boise State (17-8) vs New Mexico (22-4)
Game Info: Wednesday, February 19, 2025 at 10:00 pm (ExtraMile Arena)
The Line: Betting Odds: Boise State -2.5 — Over/Under: 150.5
The New Mexico Lobos are visiting the Boise State Broncos on Wednesday, February 19th at the ExtraMile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Prediction. We will examine:
The Boise State Broncos’ recent form and player performance
The New Mexico Lobos’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boise State Broncos
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New Mexico Lobos
Recent betting trends in games played between the New Mexico Lobos and Boise State Broncos
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos game
Boise State Broncos Preview
The Boise State Broncos have a 17-8 record this season and are sitting in 5th place in the Mountain West. Boise State is coming off a 47-64 loss to San Diego State. The Broncos are 12-12 against the spread, and 12-12 in over/under, while having a 11-1 home record.
Offensively, Boise State is averaging 76 points per game, which ranks 129th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 65.7 points per game (36th). The Broncos shoot 47.2% from the field (60th) and 31.8% from beyond the arc (296th). The Broncos shoot 76.9% from the free-throw line (36th) and are grabbing 36.86 rebounds per game (125th).
Tyson Degenhart leads Boise State in scoring, with an average of 17.8 points and 6.2 rebounds, while Alvaro Cardenas adds 11.9 points, 3 rebounds, and a team-high 6.7 assists per game.
New Mexico Lobos Preview
The New Mexico Lobos have a 22-4 record this season and are sitting in first place in the Mountain West. New Mexico is coming off an 82-79 win over Utah State. The Lobos are 13-12 against the spread, and 12-13 in over/under, while having a 6-2 road record.
Offensively, New Mexico is averaging 83.2 points per game, which is 17th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71 points per game (164th). The Lobos shoot 46.3% from the field (99th) and 35.4% from beyond the arc (99th). The Lobos shoot 68.6% from the free-throw line (288th) and are grabbing 40.4 rebounds per game (15th).
Donovan Dent leads New Mexico in scoring with an average of 19.7 points and a team-high 6.3 assists, while Nelly Junior Joseph adds 13.7 points and a team-high 10.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won 38 of its last 40 night games against the Mountain West Conference at ExtraMile Arena.
- New Mexico has lost each of its last six games at ExtraMile Arena.
- Boise State has won the first half in each of its last eight night games at ExtraMile Arena.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won 18 of its last 19 games against the Mountain West Conference.
- The road team has won the first half in each of New Mexico’s last three games.
Total Points Facts
- Fifteen of Boise State’s last 16 games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
- Each of New Mexico’s last five road games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Boise State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (28.5).
- Boise State ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (56.2%).
- New Mexico ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (64.8%).
- New Mexico ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (73.6).
New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Prediction
Boise State is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against New Mexico, and are 6-3-1 against the spread. Over is 4-2 in their 6 meetings, and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, New Mexico won 84-65 at home, covering the spread, and the game went under the point total.
In this New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, Boise State is coming as a -2.5 home favorites. New Mexico should be favored, as they have a better record, and have been one of the best road teams in the nation, while Boise State is almost perfect at home. Both teams are coming in very good form, as the Broncos are 4-1 in their last 5 games and the Lobos 8-0 in their last 8, but both teams are 12-3 to the under in their last 15 games combined. Their previous meeting this season was also a low-scoring one, and I expect this trend to continue today. Take the under.