Feb 22, 2025; Colorado Springs, Colorado, USA; Fresno State Bulldogs forward Alex Crawford (8) controls the ball as Air Force Falcons guard Jeffrey Mills (24) guards in the second half at Clune Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images
Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

Stephen F. Austin vs Fresno State Prediction 11/18/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Fresno State Bulldogs
Team Records 4-0 3-2
Spread -3.5 -108 +3.5 -112
Moneyline -162 +136
Total Over 146.5 (-108) Under 146.5 (-112)
Where Save Mart Center, Fresno, CA
When Tuesday, November 18, 2025
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV MWN

In this article, we will formulate a Stephen F. Austin vs Fresno State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, November 18th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview


Fresno State has a 3-2 record this season and are tied for 9th place in the MWC conference. They are 2-2 ATS, 2-2 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 0-0 away record. Fresno State is coming off a 75-74 home win against Utah Valley and will face New Orleans, Pepperdine and Cal State Bakersfield next.

Offensively, Fresno State averages 76.8 points per game, which ranks 229th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 66.4 points per game (80th). The Bulldogs shoot with 48% from the field (113th), and with 32.4% from beyond the arc (208th). They shoot with 69.4% from the free throw line (214th), and grab 36.8 rebounds per game (220th), while dishing out 13.2 assists per game (254th) and committing 14.8 turnovers per game (303rd).

Jake Heidbreder leads Fresno State in scoring, with an average of 17.8 points. Zaon Collins follows with 15 points and 4.8 rebounds per game, while Jac Mani adds 11.8 points and 4 rebounds per game.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Preview


Stephen F. Austin has a 4-0 record this season and are tied for 1st place in the Southland conference. They are 3-0 ATS, 1-1-1 in Over/Under and have a 3-0 home record and a 1-0 away record. Stephen F. Austin is coming off a 76-66 home win against Abilene Christian and will face Pepperdine, UT Arlington and Texas-Rio Grande Valley next.

Offensively, Stephen F. Austin averages 87.5 points per game, which ranks 86th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 69 points per game (118th). The Lumberjacks shoot with 47.9% from the field (118th), and with 42.6% from beyond the arc (17th). They shoot with 60.2% from the free throw line (353rd), and grab 41 rebounds per game (101st), while dishing out 15 assists per game (180th) and committing 9.8 turnovers per game (40th).

Keon Thompson leads Stephen F. Austin in scoring, with an average of 22 points and 6.5 rebounds. Lateef Patrick Jr. follows with 16 points per game, while Narit Chotikavanic adds 13.3 points per game.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks @ Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends: November 18, 2025


Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

  • Fresno State has won 30 of its last 38 night games against non-Conference opponents at Save Mart Center.
  • Fresno State has won the first half in 27 of its last 35 night games against non-Conference opponents at Save Mart Center.

Why the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks will win

  • Fresno State has lost nine of its last 10 games following a home win.
  • Stephen F. Austin has won seven of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Stephen F. Austin has won the first half in each of its last eight night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Six of Fresno State’s last seven night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 149+ points.
  • Ten of Stephen F. Austin’s last 12 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Fresno State ranks T26th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.60).
  • Fresno State ranks T41st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (63.6%).
  • Stephen F. Austin ranks T11th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (17.0).
  • Stephen F. Austin ranks T13th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (4.5).

Stephen F. Austin vs Fresno State Prediction


In this Stephen F. Austin vs Fresno State Prediction, Stephen F. Austin is coming as -2.5 road favorites. Stephen F. Austin has been undefeated this season and have been playing very good basketball, having a +18.5 point differential. Both teams have been playing very good defense, as they hold their opponents into just 135.4 points per game combined, so I expect a low-scoring grind in this one. Take the under 146.5 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 146.5

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