Mar 21, 2025; Milwaukee, WI, USA; Kentucky Wildcats guard Otega Oweh (00) drives to the hoop past Troy Trojans forward Jackson Fields (15) during the second half at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images
Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images

Troy vs San Diego State Prediction 11/18/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Troy Trojans San Diego State Aztecs
Team Records 3-2 2-0
Spread +15.5 -108 -15.5 -112
Moneyline +1000 -1800
Total Over 136.5 (-110) Under 136.5 (-110)
Where Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
When Tuesday, November 18, 2025
Time 10:00 PM EST
TV MWN

In this article we will formulate a Troy vs San Diego State prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, November 18th at Viejas Arena in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans are 3-2 this season after they lost to CS Northridge by a score of 94-85 in their last game. Troy trailed 51-49 at halftime and was outscored 43-36 in the second half in the loss. The Trojans shot 46% from the field, 32% on three pointers, and 86% on free throws in the game. Troy lost the rebounding battle by a total of 42-25, recorded 17 assists, and committed eight turnovers in the loss. Cobi Campbell led Troy with 18 points and four assists, while Thomas Dowd added 16 points and eight rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that game, Troy lost to Loyola Marymount by a score of 74-63, but did beat a non-D1 team by a score of 121-56 before that. The Trojans have scored 87.2 points per game with 34.2 rebounds and 18.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 76.4 points against per game this season. Cooper Campbell is averaging 15.8 points and 4.4 assists per game, while Victor Valdes is averaging 15.2 points and 3.4 rebounds per game for the Trojans. Troy is shooting 48.1% from the field, 77.5% on free throws, and 37.0% on three pointers this season. 

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs are 2-0 this year after they defeated Idaho State by a score of 73-57 in their last game. San Diego State led 34-21 at halftime and added 39 points in the second half for the win. The Aztecs shot 59% from the field, 35% on three pointers, and 75% on free throws in the game. San Diego State lost the rebounding battle by a total of 25-22, recorded 17 assists, and committed 12 turnovers in the win. Reese Dixon-Waters led SDSU with 15 points and six rebounds, while Pharaoh Compton added 14 points and two blocks in the game. 

Prior to that game, San Diego State defeated Long Beach State by a score of 77-45 to start the season. The Aztecs have scored 75.0 points per game with 30.0 rebounds and 16.5 assists per game, while they have allowed 51.0 points against per game this season. Reese Dixon-Waters is averaging 15.0 points and 6.0 rebounds per game, while Elzie Harrington is averaging 10.5 points and 1.5 rebounds per game for the Aztecs. San Diego State is shooting 50.5% from the field, 74.2% on free throws, and 42.5% on three pointers this year. 

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

  • San Diego State has won each of its last 10 night games at Viejas Arena.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

  • Troy has won nine of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Four of Troy’s last five night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
  • Four of San Diego State’s last five night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 141+ points.

Troy vs San Diego State Prediction 

San Diego State has only played two games so far this season, but they were dominant on the defensive end of the court in both. The Aztecs have allowed 57 and 45 points in those two games and they are shooting 50% from the field. Troy has lost two games in a row and they just allowed 94 points in their last game. The Trojans are shooting 48% from the field and they are scoring over 87 points per game. These two teams like to play at two very different paces, but I think San Diego State will have no problem scoring into the 80’s here. Take the over in this game.

David Racey's Pick: Over 138.5

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