UC Davis (15-15) vs UC San Diego (27-4)
Game Info: Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 5:00 pm (University Credit Union Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: UC Davis +12.5 — Over/Under: 135.5
The UC-San Diego Tritons are visiting the UC-Davis Aggies on Saturday, March 8th at the University Credit Union Center, in this Big West Conference matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UC-San Diego Tritons vs UC-Davis Aggies Prediction. We will examine:
The UC-Davis Aggies’ recent form and player performance
The UC-San Diego Tritons’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UC-Davis Aggies
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UC-San Diego Tritons
Recent betting trends in games played between the UC-San Diego Tritons and UC-Davis Aggies
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the UC-San Diego Tritons vs UC-Davis Aggies game
UC-Davis Aggies Preview
The UC-Davis Aggies have a 15-15 record this season and have locked 6th place in the Big West. The Aggies are coming off a 59-88 loss to UC Irvine. The Aggies are 15-12-1 against the spread, and 11-16-1 in over/under, while having an 8-5 home record.
Offensively, UC-Davis is averaging 68.1 points per game, which ranks 320th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.8 points per game (113th). The Aggies shoot 41.3% from the field (337th) and 32.1% from beyond the arc (289th). The Aggies shoot 74.1% from the free-throw line (108th) and are grabbing 33.1 rebounds per game (298th).
TY Johnson leads UC-Davis in scoring this season, with 21.7 points and 4.2 rebounds, while Pablo Tamba adds 10.8 points and 5.2 rebounds per game.
UC-San Diego Tritons Preview
The UC-San Diego Tritons have a 27-4 record this season and have locked the first place in the Big West. UC-San Diego is coming off a 70-63 win over Long Beach State. The Tritons are 23-6 against the spread, and 13-15-1 in over/under, while having an 11-2 road record.
Offensively, UC-San Diego is averaging 80.6 points per game, which ranks 38th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 62.1 points per game, which is the 8th-best nationally. The Tritons shoot 46.7% from the field (77th), and with 36.6% from beyond the arc (55th). The Tritons shoot 74.5% from the free-throw line (95th) and are grabbing 33.8 rebounds per game (266th).
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones leads UC-San Diego in scoring this season, with 19.8 points, 5.2 rebounds, and a team-high 3.4 assists per game, while Tyler McGhie adds 16.6 points and 4 rebounds per game.
Why the UC Davis Aggies will win
- UC Davis has won nine of its last 12 home games following a home loss.
- UC Davis has won the first half in three of its last four day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the UC San Diego Tritons will win
- UC San Diego has won each of its last 12 games.
- UC Davis has lost each of its last five games.
- UC San Diego has won the first half in each of its last nine games against the Big West Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UC San Diego’s last 14 day games has produced a total of 136+ points.
- Five of UC Davis’ last six games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 137+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- UC Davis ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.4).
- UC Davis ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.83).
- UC San Diego ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (8.7).
- UC San Diego ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.68).
UC-San Diego Tritons vs UC-Davis Aggies Prediction
UC-Davis is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against UC-San Diego, and are 5-2 against the spread. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, UC-San Diego won 85-60 at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.
In this UC-San Diego Tritons vs UC-Davis Aggies Prediction, UC-San Diego is coming as -12.5 road favorites. UC-San Diego is rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season, and have been one of the best road teams in the nation. Both teams have nothing to play for in this final game of the regular season, as they both have their seeds locked in for the upcoming conference tournament. UC Davis is 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 games, while UC San Diego is 9-1 against the spread in their last 10. The Tritons won their previous meeting this season by 25 points, and given both teams’ current form, I expect another blowout win. Take the UC-San Diego Tritons and lay the points on the road.