Everton vs Leeds United Prediction 8/18/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Everton vs Leeds United Prediction for this English Premier League Week 1 game on Monday, August 18^th, at the Elland Road Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Leeds United Preview

Leeds United finished last season with 100 points and were placed first in the Championship standings and were promoted to the Premier League. Leeds United had a 29-4-13 record last season and had a 18-1-4 home record. Leeds United won their last game of the previous season by 2-1 on the road against Plymouth. Over was 4-1 in their last 5 games of the season.

Leeds United scored 2.07 goals per game last season, while allowing 0.65 goals per game. Joël Piroe was the top scorers for Leeds United last season with 19 total goals, while Daniel James followed with 12 goals. Manor Solomon was the team’s top passer, with 12 assists made.

Everton Preview

Everton finished last season with 48 points and were placed 13^th in the Premier League standings. Everton had a 11-12-15 record last season and had a 6-7-6 road record. Everton is coming off a 2-2 road draw against Manchester United in the Premier Summer League. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 games. 

Everton scored just 1.11 goals per games, while allowing 1.16 per game. Iliman Ndiaye was the top scorer for Everton this season with 9 goals, while Beto Bercique followed with 8 goals. Dwight McNeil was the team’s top passer with 6 assists.

Why Leeds United will win

• Leeds has won each of its last eight league night matches.
• Leeds has won 13 of its last 14 league night matches.
• Leeds has won each of its last six league matches.
• Leeds has won each of its last eight league night matches as a favorite.
• Leeds has won each of its last six league matches as a favorite.
• Leeds has won 17 of its last 20 league home matches.

Why Everton will win

• Everton has won three of its last four EPL matches as an away underdog.
• Everton has won each of its last three EPL matches.
• Everton has won each of its last three EPL Monday matches against promoted teams.
• Everton has won each of its last three EPL Monday matches against promoted teams.

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Leeds’ last 13 EPL matches.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in nine of Leeds’ last 10 EPL night matches.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in four of Everton’s last five EPL away matches.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 12 of Leeds’ last 13 EPL matches.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Leeds’ last five EPL matches.
• The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Everton’s last nine EPL matches as an underdog.

Everton vs Leeds United Prediction

Both teams are a balanced 3-3-3 in their 9 previous meetings, and are 2-2-3 in their last 7 meetings in Leeds.  

In this Everton vs Leeds United Prediction, Leeds United is coming as +130 home favorites. Leeds was dominating last season in the Championship league, and are back in the Premier League after two seasons. Leeds were insanely good at home last season, but Premier League is another beast. Everton surely does not pose a threat on the road, as they were completely mediocre away from home last season, and their offense was terrible from start to finish, barely scoring more than one goal per game. I like the spot here with Leeds playing their first Premier League game after two years in front of their home crowd, and I expect them to give all they got and get away with the win.