Leeds United vs Arsenal FC Prediction 8/23/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Leeds United vs Arsenal Prediction for this English Premier League Week 2 matchup on Saturday, August 23^rd, at the Emirates Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Arsenal Preview

Arsenal is coming off a 1-0 road victory over Manchester United in the opening week of the Premier League. They had 39% possession of the ball and also had fewer total shots, with 9, and 3 shots on goal. They had 74% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.30 compared to United’s 1.52. Riccardo Calafiori scored their only goal in the 13^th minute of the game.

Last season, Arsenal scored 1.82 goals per game last season, while allowing 0.89 goals per game. Kai Havertz was the top scorer for Arsenal last season with 9 goals, while Leandro Trossard and Gabriel Martinelli followed with 8 goals apiece. Bukayo Saka was the team’s top passer, with 10 assists made.

Leeds United Preview

Leeds United is coming off a 1-0 home victory over Everton in their opening game of the season last week. Leeds had 54% possession of the ball, and had more total shots with 21, 3 of them on target. They had 2.14 expected goals, compared to Everton’s 0.80.

Last season, Leeds United scored 2.07 goals per game last season, while allowing 0.65 goals per game. Joël Piroe was the top scorers for Leeds United last season with 19 total goals, while Daniel James followed with 12 goals. Manor Solomon was the team’s top passer, with 12 assists made.

Why Arsenal will win

• Arsenal has won each of its last 13 EPL home matches against promoted teams.
• Arsenal has won each of its last 13 EPL matches against promoted teams at Emirates Stadium.
• Arsenal has won 22 of its last 23 EPL matches against promoted teams.
• Arsenal has won 15 of its last 16 EPL home matches against promoted teams.
• Leeds has lost seven of its last eight EPL away matches.
• The favorite has won each of Leeds’ last seven league matches.

Why Leeds United will win

• Leeds has won each of its last nine league night matches.
• Leeds has won each of its last seven league matches.
• Leeds has won each of its last five league matches following a league win.

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Leeds’ last 10 EPL matches as an underdog.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 13 of Leeds’ last 14 EPL matches.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in eight of Arsenal’s last nine EPL night matches.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Leeds’ last six EPL away matches.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Arsenal’s last seven EPL Saturday night home matches.
• The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Arsenal’s last six EPL Saturday matches.

Leeds United vs Arsenal Prediction

In their previous two meetings back in the 2022/23 season, Arsenal won both games. They won at home by 4-1 and on the road by 1-0. They have 12 wins and two draws in their last 14 head-to-head meetings, and have seven wins and one draw in their last 8 home meetings against Leeds. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Leeds United vs Arsenal Prediction, Arsenal is coming as huge -350 home favorites. Arsenal dominates Leeds as they have only two draws in their last 14 overall meetings and one draw in their last 8 at home. Arsenal has won by 2 goals or more only once in their last three meetings, and I don’t think that they will destroy Leeds today. Both teams had elite defenses last season, averaging 1.54 goals per game combined, and they continued their strong defensive performance this season, as they had zero conceded goals in their first game of the season. The total is set at 3.5 goals, which is too high, so go under the total in this one.