Liverpool vs Newcastle United Prediction 8/25/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction for this English Premier League Week 2 matchup on Monday, August 25^th, at the St. James’ Park. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Newcastle Preview

Newcastle is coming off a 0-0 road draw against Aston Villa in the opening week of the Premier League. They had 60% possession of the ball and had more total shots, with 16, and three shots on goal. They had 83% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.44 compared to Villa’s 0.20. Under is 5-0 in their last 5 matches.

Last season, Newcastle averaged 1.79 goals per game last season, while they allowed 1.24 goals per game. Alexander Isak was the top scorer for Newcastle last season with 23 total goals, while Harvey Barnes followed with 9 goals. Jacob Murphy was the team’s top passer, with 11 assists made.

Liverpool Preview

Liverpool is coming off a 4-2 home victory over Bournemouth in their opening game of the season last week. Liverpool had 61% possession of the ball, and had more total shots with 19, 10 of them on target. They had 82% completed passes and 2.21 expected goals, compared to Bournemouth’s 1.70.

Last season, Liverpool averaged 2.26 goals per game, which was the best in the league, while allowed 1.08 goals per game, which was the second-best. Mohamed Salah was the top scorer for Liverpool last season with 29 total goals, while Luis Diaz followed with 13 goals. Mohamed Salah was also the team’s best passer, with 18 total assists.

Why Newcastle will win

• Newcastle United has won six of its last seven EPL home matches.
• Newcastle United has won four of its last five EPL night matches.
• The home team has won nine of Liverpool’s last 12 EPL matches.
• The home team has won nine of Liverpool’s last 12 EPL matches.

Why Liverpool will win

• Liverpool has won 12 of its last 13 EPL matches against Newcastle United following a league win.
• Liverpool has won seven of its last eight EPL matches against Newcastle United.
• Liverpool has won 10 of its last 12 EPL night matches against Newcastle United.
• Liverpool has won each of its last three EPL Week 2 away matches.
• Liverpool has won three of its last four EPL away matches against Newcastle United.

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Liverpool’s last six EPL matches.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Newcastle United’s last four EPL matches.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Liverpool’s last seven EPL Monday away matches.
• The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Newcastle United’s last eight EPL night matches as an underdog.
• The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last five EPL matches.

Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction

Last season both teams were tied 1-1-1 in their three overall meetings. Newcastle won 2-1 on the road for the EFL Cup, Liverpool won 2-0 at home and both teams had a 3-3 draw in St. James’ Park. Liverpool has won their last six head-to-head meetings before that, and have five wins and two draws in their last seven meetings in St. James’ Park. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games.

In this Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction, Liverpool is coming as +100 road favorites. Liverpool looked sharp in their season opener, scoring 4 goals and dominating their opponents. On the flip side, Newcastle failed to score a single goal against Aston Villa. Liverpool is dominating Newcastle in recent meetings both overall and in St. James’ Park, as they have 7 wins in their last 9 overall meetings and 5 wins in their last 7 visits in St. James’ Park. You don’t see Liverpool as just +100 favorites often, as it is the start of the season, and the books have not adjusted their prices yet. Take Liverpool on the moneyline to get the job done on the road in this one.