Philadelphia Phillies vs LA Angels Prediction MLB Picks 4/30/24

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LA Angels (11-18) vs Philadelphia Phillies (19-11)

April 30, 2024 at 09:38 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: LA Angels +115 / Philadelphia Phillies -135 — Over/Under: 8.5

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In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs LA Angels prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 30th at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Phillies recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Angels recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Los Angeles 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Philadelphia and Los Angeles 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Philadelphia and Los Angeles

Phillies Winning Streak Snapped 

The Philadelphia Phillies are 19-11 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Philadelphia dropped game one in this series, but they did sweep the Padres over the weekend. Prior to that series sweep, the Phillies split a four game series with the Reds and swept the White Sox. Philadelphia has won 11 of their last 14 games, and they are second in the NL East. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP, and a .218 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 140 runs with a .254 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .364 with four home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Phillies. Philadelphia has been red hot offensively and they have scored at least five runs in five straight games. 

Angels Looking for Back to Back Wins

The LA Angels are 11-18 this year and they have lost nine of their last 11 games. Los Angeles did win game one by a score of 6-5, but they were swept by the Twins and out scored 32-13 over the weekend. Prior to that series, the Angels lost two out of three against Baltimore and were swept by the Reds. LA has not won back to back games in their last 23 games. 

The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 5.01 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Angels offense has scored 125 runs with a .241 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Taylor Ward is batting .274 with seven home runs and 23 RBI’s for the Angels. LA has allowed 43 runs over their last five games and they really need to get their pitching together. 

Starting Pitchers 

The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Spencer Turnbull, who is 2-0 with a 1.33 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP over 27.0 innings pitched this year. Turnbull has allowed a total of four earned runs in his last five starts (27.0 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Tyler Anderson, who is 2-3 with a 1.78 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 30.1 innings pitched this season. Anderson has allowed six earned runs in his last five starts (30.1 IP). 

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Drury has recorded an RBI in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tyler Anderson has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his 12 previous home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Anthony Rendon has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against the Phillies.
  • Anthony Rendon has recorded at least one Double in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against the Phillies.
  • Anthony Rendon has scored at least one run in 11 of his last 12 appearances with his team as an underdog against the Phillies.
  • Anthony Rendon has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Phillies.
  • Anthony Rendon has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances.
  • Mike Trout ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Bryce Harper has hit a home run in four of the Phillies’ last five games against the Angels.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last five night games.
  • Trea Turner has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies’ last nine night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his nine previous appearances against the Angels after playing the previous day.
  • Spencer Turnbull has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 13 games.
  • Trea Turner has recorded a Double in six of the Phillies’ last seven night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Alec Bohm ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.364) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Los Angeles Angels rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.02).
  • The Los Angeles Angels rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (117).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (283).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank T2nd in the league for home runs this season (37).

Philadelphia Phillies vs LA Angels Prediction

Los Angeles comes into this game after winning the first game in this series, but they haven’t won back to back games in over three weeks. The Angels pitching staff is a disaster right now, but they are going with Tyler Anderson, who has been outstanding to start this year. Philadelphia is one of the best teams in the MLB right now and they are top 11 in team ERA and runs scored. The Phillies are crushing the baseball right now, but we will see if they can get to Anderson. On the other side, Spencer Turnbull has been very solid for the Phillies and has allowed only one earned run on the road in two starts. It was nice to see the Angels get a win in game one, but I can’t pick them to win two in a row. My Philadelphia Phillies vs LA Angels prediction is for the Phillies to win and cover the run line. 

David Racey's Pick: Phillies -1.5

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