Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 8/28/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 28th at the American Family Field in the 4th game of this series, with the Brewers having the 2-1 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have an 83-51 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL Central. They have a 45-23 home record and are 63-67 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-3 home defeat by the Dbacks, and saw their two-game winning streak end. They are playing the Blue Jays and the Phillies next.

The Brewers have a .258 batting average this season, .332 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 137 hits, while Christian Yelich leads the team in RBI, with 90, adding a team-high 26 home runs. Sal Frelick is the team’s best hitter with a .297 batting average.

Jose Quintana (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 10-4 record, 3.32 ERA and 1.25 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 65-69 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 31-37 road record and are 64-62 in over/under They are coming off a 3-2 road victory over the Brewers, that ended their three-game losing streak. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 games and are playing the Rangers and the Dodgers next.

The Diamondbacks have a .251 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .439 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.56 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Geraldo Perdomo leads the Diamondbacks with 143 hits, adding a team-high 87 RBI. Ketel Marte is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average. Corbin Carroll leads the team in home runs with 27.

Reliever Nabil Crismatt (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 1-0 record, 1.00 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won 10 of their last 11 day games following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last four day games against the Brewers following a road win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six Thursday games against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in 14 of their last 15 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six Thursday day games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs following a win.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Brewers’ last six day games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four day games against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven road games against NL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1174).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.258).
• The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (33).
• The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for RBIs this season (646).

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction

The Dbacks are 6-4 in their last 10 meetings against the Brewers, but the Brewers are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Milwaukee. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.

In this Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -170 home favorites. The Dbacks are going for a bullpen game today after pulling off the upset yesterday. Their bullpen is one of the weakest in baseball, while on the flip side, the Brewers are sending Quintana on the mound, who has been elite this season, and coming into this matchup in very good form. His only start against the Dbacks this season was a shutout, so I really like the Brewers in a bounce-back spot today. Take the Milwaukee Brewers to win at home and lay the juice.