Atlanta (60-72) vs Miami (62-70)
August 27, 2025 at 01:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
The Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins meet Wednesday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Pick.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 60-72 on the year and play the Phillies, Cubs, and Mariners next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .244 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .393 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 134 hits and 72 RBI, while Michael Harris II and Ozzie Albies have combined for 241 hits and 122 RBI.
Joey Wentz gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 4-4 with a 5.25 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. Wentz is 3-1 with a 1.23 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 62-70 on the year and play the Mets, Nationals, and Phillies next. The Miami Marlins are batting .250 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 137 hits and 34 RBI while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 217 hits and 132 RBI.
Ryan Gusto gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 7-6 with a 5.05 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. This will be Gusto’s second career game against the Atlanta Braves.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Braves have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Marlins at LoanDepot Park following a win.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last nine games against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 10 Wednesday day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have won each of their last four day games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has recorded a hit in seven of his last eight appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Michael Harris has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Two subpar teams on a quick turnaround, and two pitchers who haven’t been good this season. Both Gusto and Wentz have ERAs over five on the season. Wentz has allowed 13 runs in his last 20 innings, and he just allowed six runs in 3.1 innings to the Mets. Gusto has allowed 11 hits and eight runs in his 12 innings since coming over from Houston. I like the over in this spot given the form of both pitchers.