| MATCHUP | Atlanta Braves | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 61-73 | 77-57 |
| Where | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Friday, August 29, 2025 | |
| Time | 06:45 PM EDT | |
| TV | Apple TV+ | |
In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Phillies Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 29th at the Citizens Bank Park in the second game of this series, with the Phillies having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 77-57 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL East. They have a 43-22 home record, and are 58-68 in over/under. They are coming off a 19-4 home victory over the Braves, that ended their three-game losing streak. Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games and are playing the Brewers and the Marlins next.
The Phillies have a .258 batting average this season, .328 OBP and .426 Slugging percentage. Philly’s pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 165 hits and he is the team’s best hitter, with a .299 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 119 RBI and a team-high 49 home runs.
Ranger Suarez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 10-6 record, 3.07 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 61-73 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL East. The Braves have a 28-40 road record and 62-62 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-19 road defeat by the Phillies, which ended their two-game winning streak. Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games and are playing the Cubs and the Mariners next.
The Braves have a .244 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Braves with 137 hits, and he is also the team’s best hitter with a .2656 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 75, while Marcell Ozuna leads the team in home runs with 21.
Bryce Elder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 5-9 record, 6.12 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have lost five of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Phillies’ last four games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 13 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Phillies have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Braves have won five of their last six games as road underdogs.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Braves’ last five night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last three games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Braves’ last nine night games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.258).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1230).
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (486).
- The Braves rank 24th in the league for steals this season (68).
Braves vs Phillies Prediction
The Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 head-to-head meetings against the Braves, and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.
In this Braves vs Phillies Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -188 home favorites. Bryce Elder takes the mound for the Braves and he has been terrible this season. He was torched in his only start against the Phillies this season, with 9 earned runs in just 2 innings pitched. Suarez is coming off a shutout start against the Nationals, and he has been amazing in his two starts against the Braves this season, with just one earned run in 13 innings pitched. Take the Phillies to continue to roll at home and win this one.