| MATCHUP | Braves Atlanta | Nationals Washington |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 67-83 | 62-88 |
| Where | Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia | |
| When | Monday, September 15, 2025 | |
| Time | 06:45 PM EDT | |
| TV | FanDuel SN South | |
In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 15th at the Nationals Park the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 62-87 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the NL East. The Nationals have a 31-43 home record and are 75-65 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-3 home victory over the Pirates, and are 6-3 in their last 9 games. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games and are playing the Mets and the Braves next.
The Nationals have a .244 batting average this season, .307 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 5.28 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. James Wood leads the Nationals with 143 hits, while CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .262 batting average. James Wood adds a team-high 88 RBI and leads the team in home runs, with 27.
Mitchell Parker (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has an 8-15 record, 5.69 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 66-83 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL East. The Braves have a 30-44 road record and 67-72 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-3 home victory over the Astros, that ended their four-game losing streak. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games and are playing the Nationals and the Tigers next.
The Braves have a .242 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .391 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 4.46 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Braves with 155 hits, and he is also the team’s best hitter with a .273 batting average. He leads the team both in RBI, with 83, and in home runs with 25.
Spencer Strider (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 5-13 record, 4.86 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: September 15, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Mitchell Parker Record this season: 8-15 ERA: 5.69
- Home Record: 5-8
- Last 5 against Braves: 2-0
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against the Nationals following a win.
- The Nationals have won six of their last seven games as home underdogs against the Braves.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following a home win.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against the Braves.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against NL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Spencer Strider Record this season: 5-13 ERA: 4.86
- Road Record: 2-6
- Last 5 against Nationals: 3-2
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last eight Monday night home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have won five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six road games.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Monday night home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Nationals’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven Monday games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Braves’ last six road games.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Luis Garcia has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in each of the Nationals’ last three games against the Braves.
- Paul DeJong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Monday appearances with his team as an underdog.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as favorites.
- Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 21 appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Spencer Strider has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Nationals.
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Braves as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.28).
- The Nationals rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.266).
- The Braves rank 27th in the league for steals this season (75).
- The Braves rank 4th in the league for walks this season (517).
Braves vs Nationals Prediction
The Nationals are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Braves, and have won their last 3 meetings in Washington. Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Braves vs Nationals Prediction, the Braves are coming as -155 road favorites. Both pitchers have been terrible in this matchup, as they have a combined 11.55 ERA this season, and Strider has been even weaker on the road, with a 5.13 road ERA. They are both coming into this matchup in terrible form, as they have a 7.56 and 6.39 ERA across their last five starts respectively. Parker has 7 earned runs in his two starts against the Braves this season, and Strider has 4 earned runs in his sole start against the Nationals. Washington also has the worst bullpen ERA in baseball, so this game is going to have tons of runs. Take the over 9 in this one.