Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8/28/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles meet Thursday in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 74-60 on the year and play the Pirates, Guardians, and Diamondbacks next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .252 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .425 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 134 hits and 73 RBI, while Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 241 hits and 138 RBI.

Garrett Crochet gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 14-5 with a 2.38 ERA and 207 strikeouts this season. Crochet is 1-1 with a 1.13 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 60-73 on the year and play the Giants, Padres, and Dodgers next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .240 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .402 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 132 hits and 59 RBI while Jackson Holliday and Jordan Westburg have combined for 196 hits and 83 RBI.

Cade Povich gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 2-7 with a 5.13 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. Povich is 0-2 with a 4.43 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last five Thursday games as underdogs.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last three Thursday games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last six day games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games following a road win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a home loss.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Dylan Carlson has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Ryan Noda has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in five of the Red Sox’s last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Trevor Story has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last five games as road favorites against the Orioles.

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Red Sox are putting together a fantastic week and that should continue with Crochet on the mound. Crochet has been one of the best pitchers in baseball with a 2.38 ERA and 1.06 WHIP, and the Red Sox have won 11 of his last 14 starts. In 89 road innings, Crochet has a 2.43 ERA and .226 allowed batting average. The Orioles are back to their losing ways, and Povich isn’t a pitcher you can back with confidence. Povich has an ERA over five on the season, and he’s allow 12 earned runs in his last 21.1 innings. In 46.1 home innings, Povich has a 6.22 ERA and .281 allowed batting average. No, thanks. Give me the Red Sox and the RL for max betting value.