Cincinnati Reds (20-23) vs Chicago White Sox (13-29)
May 14, 2025 at 07:14 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -230 / Chicago White Sox +190 — Over/Under: 9
In this article, we will formulate a White Sox vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 14, at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago White Sox Betting Preview
The Chicago White Sox (13-29, 4-17 Away) responded to being swept by the Kansas City Royals with a series win over the Miami Marlins. After defeating the Marlins in two of three games, the White Sox opened the current series in Cincinnati with a 5-1 extra innings victory. Miguel Vargas hit a three-run homer in the 10th inning to lead his team, while Jonathan Cannon pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on four hits with six strikeouts and no walks. Steven Wilson was credited with the win.
This season, the White Sox average 3.43 runs per game (26th in the MLB) on a .215/.291/.322 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the White Sox’s staff has a 4.01 ERA (17th) and 1.37 WHIP (23rd). Andrew Vaughn leads the White Sox with a .192 batting average, five home runs, and 17 RBI this season.
Davis Martin will take the mound for the White Sox on Wednesday. The 28-year-old right-hander has a 1-4 record in eight starts this year with a 4.01 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 42.2 innings.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds (20-23, 9-11 Home) are not playing well recently, as they lost eight of the previous ten games. Following series losses to the Cardinals, Nationals, Braves, and Astros, the Reds lost Game 1 of the current series against the Chicago White Sox. Cincy scored the lone run in the 9th and forced extra innings, but lost 5-1 in the end. Andrew Abbott pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on four hits with seven strikeouts and no walks. Emilio Pagan took the loss.
This year, the Reds average 4.63 runs per game (13th in the MLB) on a .236/.318/.376 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Reds’ staff has a 3.75 ERA (11th) and 1.18 WHIP (7th). Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with a .250 batting average, seven home runs, and 30 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Reds is Nick Lodolo, who is 3-3 in eight starts this season, with a 3.23 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 47.1 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the White Sox’s last seven games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Reds’ last three night games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the White Sox’s last eight road games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Reds’ last seven games as favorites.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 5th in the league for walks this season (160).
- The Reds rank 5th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.223).
- The White Sox rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (144).
- The White Sox rank T28th in the league for hits this season (291).
White Sox vs Reds Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. I am going with Over here because of the pitching matchup. I am not impressed with the way Davis Martin and Nick Lodolo have been playing lately. Martin allowed seven runs in his last two starts, while Lodolo surrendered 15 runs in his previous five starts, including eight in the last two. I am backing both teams to score 3+ runs in the opening five innings, which should be enough for at least nine runs in the end. Go with Over.