Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros Prediction 8/28/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Colorado Rockies and the Houston Astros meet Thursday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Colorado Rockies will send out Kyle Freeland for the start here and Freeland is 3-13 with a 5.31 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. In his career, Freeland is 0-2 with a 4.42 ERA and 10 strikeouts against the Astros. The Houston Astros will trot out Jason Alexander for the start here and Alexander is 4-1 with a 4.59 ERA and 38 strikeouts his season. This will be Alexander’s first career start against the Rockies.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to rebound from a 4-0 loss at the hands of the Astros on Wednesday to fall to 38-95 this season. After this series, the Rockies will take on the Chicago Cubs in a series at home.

Rockies Drop 5 Of Their Last 6

Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 119 hits including 23 doubles, 4 triples, 26 home runs and 75 RBIs while Michael Toglia has 58 hits with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 32 RBIs but also has 126 strikeouts. Kyle Farmer has 14 doubles while Jordan Beck has 14 home runs, 23 doubles, 44 RBIs, 5 triples and 14 stolen bases. Brenton Doyle has 100 hits with 17 doubles, 14 home runs, 50 RBIs and 14 stolen bases. Mickey Moniak has 89 hits with 15 doubles, 6 triples and 18 home runs with 52 RBIs. 

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Astros have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have won 14 of the Astros’ last 21 games at Daikin Park.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a home win.
• The road team has covered the run line in five of the Astros’ last six games.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Freeland has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
• Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Kris Bryant has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances against the Astros.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this game looking to add on to their win over Colorado from Wednesday to sit at 73-60 this season. After this series, the Astros will head home for a series against the Angels.

Astros Win 4 Of Their Last 6

Jose Altuve has 135 hits including 20 doubles, 22 home runs and 64 RBIs. Jeremy Pena also has 124 hits with 23 doubles, 14 homers and 50 RBIs with 19 stolen bases as well. Jake Meyers has 15 doubles as well and Christian Walker has 19 home runs and 72 RBIs but has also accrued a team-high 142 strikeouts so far this season. Altuve also has 9 stolen bases while Jake Meyers has 14 stolen bases this season. Isaac Paredes also has 19 home runs with 50 RBIs of his own and Cam Smith has contributed 8 homers and 49 RBIs.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last 14 games against the Rockies following a home win.
• The Rockies have lost 12 of their last 13 games at Daikin Park.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The favorites have covered the run line in seven of the Rockies’ last eight games at Daikin Park.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
• Yainer Diaz has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Astros as favorites against NL opponents.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jeremy Pena ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.307) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros’ last four games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rockies’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros Prediction

I’m on the Astros here. I get the case to be made for Colorado in some spots as there are going to be spots where the Rockies give us value down the stretch. However, the Astros are the better team here and historically have been a solid team against left-handed pitching like Freeland. I just don’t see the Rockies’ offense being able to back up Colorado here so give me the Astros here.