San Diego Padres (77-61) vs Detroit Tigers (69-68)
September 2, 2024 at 06:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -169 / Detroit Tigers +144 — Over/Under: 8
The Detroit Tigers and the San Diego Padres meet Monday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padres prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Detroit Tigers did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. Joe Musgrove will get the start for the Padres here and is 4-4 with a 4.44 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season. In his career, Musgrove is 0-1 with a 3.46 ERA and 12 strikeouts against Detroit.
Detroit Tigers Recap
The Detroit Tigers come into this one looking to build on their series win over the Red Sox thanks to a 4-1 win in Sunday’s rubber match. The win over the Tigers gives them another series victory to add to series wins over the Angels and White Sox over the last week and a half.
Tigers Trying To Crash AL Playoff Race
Riley Greene has 108 hits including 20 home runs and 58 RBIs along with 23 doubles, 5 triples, a .258 batting average and a .349 OBP in addition to a team-high 129 strikeouts this season. Matt Vierling also has 115 hits as well as 5 triples and 25 doubles with 15 home runs and 50 RBIs while Wenceel Perez has 5 triples and a team-high 9 stolen bases. Colt Keith also has 12 home runs and 52 RBIs as well this year.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last four road games.
- The Padres have lost eight of their last 10 home games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six-day games following a road win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in 18 of their last 20 road games after playing the previous day.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this one off of their series win against the Tampa Bay Rays this past weekend after a 4-3 win in Sunday’s series finale. The series win helps San Diego bounce back from a series split with the St. Louis Cardinals to start the week last week.
Padres Trying To Hold Down NL Wild Card Spot
Jurickson Profar has 136 hits along with a .280 batting average and 24 doubles with 21 homers and 81 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 78 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 23 home runs and 83 RBIs but also has 101 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs and a team-high 22 stolen bases. Jackson Merrill has also chipped in 21 home runs, 79 RBIs and 22 doubles with 6 triples this season.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Tigers have lost each of their last seven Monday day road games.
- The Padres have won four of their last five games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
- The Padres have covered the run line in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Tigers vs. Padres Prediction
I’m leaning towards the Padres here. It’s a tricky travel spot for both teams flying cross country for this one, but I trust Joe Musgrove and his current form and I also like what I’ve seen from the Padres’ lineup over the course of the second half of the season. The Tigers are looking like a team that has serious aspirations of making one last run at a playoff spot in September, but I think this is a Padres spot here. Give me San Diego.