Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction 5/15/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Astros vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 15, at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros (22-20, 7-11 Away) bounced back from series losses to the White Sox and Brewers with wins over the Reds and Royals. The Astros opened that series against the Royals with a loss, but responded with 2-1 and 4-3 victories. Jeremy Pena led the team with two RBI, while Colton Gordon pitched for 4.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and two walks. Bryan King was credited with the win.

This year, the Astros average 4.15 runs per game (16th in the MLB) on a .250/.322/.379 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Astros’ staff has a 3.47 ERA (8th) and 1.14 WHIP (2nd). Jeremy Pena leads the Astros with a .315 batting average, six home runs, and 23 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Astros is Hunter Brown, who is 6-1 in eight starts this season, with a 1.48 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in 48.2 innings.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers (23-21, 15-8 Home) are looking for their sixth consecutive win for the first time this season after winning the previous five. Following a series win over the Detroit Tigers on the road, the Rangers swept the Colorado Rockies in three games at home. In last night’s 8-3 victory, Wyatt Langford, Adolis Garcia, and Jake Burger led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Patrick Corbin got the win after allowing three runs on four hits with nine strikeouts and one walk across 6.0 innings of work.

This season, the Rangers average 3.40 runs per game (28th in the MLB) on a .231/.291/.371 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 3.29 ERA (4th) and 1.14 WHIP (1st). Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with a .229 batting average, six home runs, and 24 RBI this season.

Jacob deGrom will take the mound for the Rangers on Thursday. The 36-year-old right-hander has a 3-1 record in eight starts this year with a 2.72 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 43.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros’ last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Astros and Rangers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last seven games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six night games between the Astros and Rangers at Globe Life Field.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 3rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (36).
• The Rangers rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.295).
• The Astros rank T4th in the league for home runs allowed this season (37).
• The Astros rank 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (153).

Astros vs Rangers Prediction

The Astros won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Rangers won three of the last five. Texas has a 14-29 Over/Under record, but I am not backing a low-scoring affair in this one because of that record. I am backing Under because of the starters. Hunter Brown, one of the best pitchers in the MLB at the moment, registered four shutouts and allowed more than two runs in just one game this year. Jacob deGrom, on the other hand, surrendered just six runs in his last five starts. If you love great pitching and excellent defense, this is your game. I like the profit, and I am going to get it by backing Under in this tilt. 

's Pick: Under 7.5