Washington (38-55) vs Milwaukee (53-40)
July 11, 2025 at 08:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee -185 — Over/Under: +8.5
The Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Washington Nationals will send out Mitchell Parker for the start here and Parker is 5-9 with a 4.72 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. In his career, Parker is 1-0 with a 6.75 ERA and 5 strikeouts against the Brewers. Quinn Priester will get the start for the Brewers and is 6-2 with a 3.59 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. This will be Priester’s first career start against the Nationals.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to bounce back from an 8-1 loss at the hands of the St. Louis Cardinals last time out to sit at 38-55 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will head home for a series against the San Diego Padres after the all-star break.
Nationals Drop 5 Of Their Last 6
Keibert Ruiz has 63 hits with 12 doubles and a pair of home runs with 25 RBIs while James Wood has 99 hits with 19 doubles and a team-high 24 home runs along with 69 RBIs and 12 stolen bases while also putting up 111 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 83 hits with 14 doubles and 61 RBIs along with 14 home runs and 106 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 12 home runs and 31 RBIs along with 20 doubles and 19 stolen bases while Luis Garcia Jr. has 19 doubles and 8 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
The underdogs have won each of the Brewers’ last five games.
The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last 10 games.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
CJ Abrams has recorded a Double in three of the Nationals’ last four road games against NL Central opponents.
CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 11 night games.
Luis Garcia has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
James Wood ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.387) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their 3-2 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers last time out to sit at 53-40 on the year. After this series, the Brewers will head back on the road for a rematch series with the Dodgers post all-star break.
Brewers Win 4 In A Row
Brice Turang has 94 hits with 5 home runs, 38 RBIs and 17 stolen bases while Jackson Chourio has 101 hits with a team-high 24 doubles, 16 stolen bases, 15 home runs and 56 RBIs and Sal Frelick has 97 hits as well as 3 triples and 16 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 14 stolen bases with 18 homers and 63 RBIs while also adding 11 doubles. Yelich also has a team-high 98 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 6 homers and 35 RBIs as well this season. Rhys Hoskins has added 65 hits with 12 home runs, 42 RBIs and 12 doubles.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
The Brewers have won each of their last eight night games at American Family Field following a home win.
The Nationals have lost five of their last six games.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 night games against the Nationals following a win.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 25 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
Seven of the Nationals’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Brewers’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
I’m on the Brewers here. I just think that the Brewers are the better team here and a lot of the recent decisions for the Nationals have been losses by multiple runs. Mitchell Parker’s also had a lot of issues in his career on the road and the Brewers have been really solid against left-handed pitching for much of the season. Give me the Brewers here.