| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 82-59 | 65-76 |
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida | |
| When | Friday, September 5, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | NBC Sports Phil | |
The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins meet Friday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pick.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 81-59 on the year and play the Mets, Royals, and Dodgers next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .257 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and a .423 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 174 hits and 68 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 252 hits and 180 RBI.
Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 11-5 with a 2.66 ERA and 181 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 2-0 with a 1.27 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 65-75 on the year and play the Nationals, Tigers, and Rockies next. The Miami Marlins are batting .250 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and a .392 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.70 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 142 hits and 34 RBI while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 227 hits and 139 RBI.
Valente Bellozo gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 1-3 with a 3.91 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. Bellozo is 1-0 with a 0.82 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: September 5, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo Record this season: 1-3 ERA: 3.91
- Home Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Phillies: 1-0
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez Record this season: 11-5 ERA: 2.66
- Road Record: 6-5
- Last 5 against Marlins: 2-0
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have lost five of their last six games at LoanDepot Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight Friday night road games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games at LoanDepot Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Marlins’ last five games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six night games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Marlins’ last five games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Friday appearances.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Max Kepler has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances at LoanDepot Park.
- Bryce Harper has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites against the Marlins.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Phillies as favorites against the Marlins.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (49) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 27th in the league for ERA this season (4.70).
- The Marlins rank 27th in the league for runs allowed this season (699).
- The Phillies are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
- The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.257).
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction
The Phillies are comfortably the better team, and Sanchez has been money this season with a 2.66 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Sanchez has allowed 39 hits and 13 earned runs in his last 38.2 innings. He’s been a workhorse who usually pitches a quality start. The Marlins have fallen off the wagon over the last month, and Bellozo just hasn’t been good this season in a limited sample size. In his last 17 innings, Bellozo has allowed 18 hits and 11 runs. It’s just not going to get it done against good teams. The Phillies should have their way in this series. Give me the Phillies and the RL for max betting value.