| MATCHUP | Phillies Philadelphia | Marlins Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 83-59 | 65-77 |
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida | |
| When | Saturday, September 6, 2025 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | NBC Sports Phil | |
The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pick.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 82-59 on the year and play the Mets, Royals, and Dodgers next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .258 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and a .425 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 178 hits and 68 RBI, while Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos have combined for 254 hits and 180 RBI.
Jesus Luzardo gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 12-6 with a 4.05 ERA and 182 strikeouts this season. Luzardo is 0-1 with a 3.75 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 65-76 on the year and play the Nationals, Tigers, and Rockies next. The Miami Marlins are batting .250 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and a .392 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 142 hits and 34 RBI while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 228 hits and 139 RBI.
Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 8-11 with a 5.66 ERA and 119 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 6-10 with a 3.78 ERA and 113 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: September 6, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara Record this season: 8-11 ERA: 5.66
- Home Record: 5-5
- Last 5 against Phillies: 0-3
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Phillies’ last five games.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as road favorites following a win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jesus Luzardo Record this season: 12-6 ERA: 4.05
- Road Record: 6-4
- Last 5 against Marlins: 0-1
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last four games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have won each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against NL East opponents.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last three games at LoanDepot Park.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Marlins’ last six home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Marlins’ last six games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Phillies’ last five games as road favorites.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded a hit in each of his last four appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs against NL opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games against NL East opponents.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Marlins.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (49) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank T5th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1110).
- The Marlins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.73).
- The Phillies are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
- The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (1242).
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction
The Phillies continue to pile up the wins and Luzardo is coming off a strong August where he allowed 26 hits and 12 runs in 34.2 innings. Luzardo also just spent four seasons with the Marlins, so he’s familiar with some of these guys. While Alcantara is a CY Young winner and one of the best arms in the sport when he’s right, he’s been hit or miss for much of the season and is hard to trust start to start. Also, current Phillies are hitting .301 and have an on base percentage of .359 in 286 at bats against Alcantara. I have to roll with the Phillies.