Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 9/27/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Chris Ruffolo

1 month ago

Jul 28, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Atlanta Braves third baseman Austin Riley (27) hits a solo home run in the seventh inning against the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Peter Aiken-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Pirates Pittsburgh	Braves Atlanta
Team Records	71-90	75-86
Where	Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
Time	Sep 27th, 11:15 PM Z
TV	MLB.TV

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Pittsburgh Pirates will send out Bubba Chandler here and Chandler is 3-1 with a 4.56 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. This will be Chandler’s first career start against the Braves. Spencer Strider will get the start for the Braves here and Strider is 7-13 with a 4.45 ERA and 126 strikeouts this season. In his career, Strider is 1-1 with a 6.48 ERA and 11 strikeouts against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to build on their 9-3 win over the Braves from Friday’s opener to sit at 70-90 this season.

Pirates Win 5 Of Last 6

Bryan Reynolds has 140 hits with 37 doubles, 16 home runs and 73 RBIs while also posting 171 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 20 home runs and 61 RBIs with 38 stolen bases. Cruz also has 173 strikeouts as well this season. Tommy Pham has 17 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 112 hits with 22 doubles as well this season.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of Pittsburgh in Friday’s series opener to fall to 75-85 this season.

Braves Drop Back-To-Back Games

Austin Riley has 108 hits including 16 home runs, 54 RBIs and 20 doubles so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 145 hits with 23 doubles, 16 home runs and 74 RBIs in addition to 14 stolen bases and Matt Olson has 167 hits with 40 doubles, 28 home runs and 93 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 111 hits with 21 home runs and 67 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 148 hits with 25 doubles, 6 triples, 19 home runs and 85 RBIs and 20 stolen bases as well and Nick Allen has 8 stolen bases as well this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: September 27, 2025

Probable Starting Pitcher: Spencer Strider Record this season: 7-13 ERA: 4.45
Home Record: 3-7
Last 5 against Pirates: 1-1

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

The Pirates have lost each of their last eight road games against NL East opponents following a win.
The Braves have won each of their last eight Saturday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against the Braves following a win.
The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a loss.
The Pirates have lost the first inning in each of their last four games at Truist Park against opponents that held a losing record.
The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Braves have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 night games against the Pirates at Truist Park.

Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 4.56
Road Record: 1-0
Last 5 against Braves: –

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

The Pirates have won each of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
The Braves have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents.
The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the last seven games between the Pirates and Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven Saturday night games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six night games between the Pirates and Braves at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four night games.
Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six Saturday appearances at Truist Park.
Spencer Strider has recorded a win in each of his last five Saturday appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL Central opponents.
Sean Murphy has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Jared Triolo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Tommy Pham has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Oneil Cruz ranks 4th in the league in Steals (38) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (566).
The Braves rank 26th in the league for doubles this season (238).
The Pirates rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (570).
The Pirates rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (113).