| MATCHUP | Seattle Mariners | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 73-67 | 70-69 |
| Where | George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida | |
| When | Wednesday, September 3, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | Root Sports NW | |
In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Rays Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 3rd at the George M. Steinbrenner Field in the third game of this series, with the Rays having the 2-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 69-69 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL East. The Rays have a 36-33 home record and are 59-70 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-5 home victory over the Mariners, and have five consecutive wins. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 games and are playing the Guardians and the White Sox next.
The Rays have a .251 batting average this season, .313 OBP and .403 slugging percentage. Tampa’s pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with 146 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with .287 batting average. Junior Caminero leads the team in RBI, with 100 and in home runs, with 40.
Adrian Houser (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 7-4 record, 2.85 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 73-66 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 32-39 road record and are 75-58 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-6 road defeat by the Rays, and are 1-4 in their last 5 games. They are playing the Braves and the Cardinals next.
The Mariners have a .242 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .411 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 150, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .264 batting average. Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 108, and in home runs with 51.
George Kirby (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has an 8-6 record, 3.94 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The home team has won each of the last six games between the Mariners and Rays.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against the Mariners.
- The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four night games at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Rays have lost 17 of their last 21 games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games at George M. Steinbrenner Field following a home win.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday games against the Rays.
- The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Rays’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mariners’ last four games as favorites against the Rays have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rays’ last eight night games at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in three of the Mariners’ last four games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for steals this season (175).
- The Rays are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (188).
- The Mariners rank 29th in the league for triples this season (7).
Mariners vs Rays Prediction
The Mariners are 6-3 in their last 9 head-to-head meetings against the Rays, but the Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Tampa. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.
In this Mariners vs Rays Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -140 road favorites. Kirby has finally managed to put together some good starts for the Mariners lately, but he is still weaker on the road, with a 4.73 ERA, while Houser has been better at home for the Rays, with a 2.08 ERA. The Rays have dominated the Mariners in the first two meetings and are playing better baseball. They also have a better bullpen and are better than the Mariners against right-handed pitching, so I really like them in this spot as home dogs. Take the Tampa Bay Rays and the plus money at home.