| MATCHUP | Rangers Texas | Guardians Cleveland |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 81-81 | 87-74 |
| Where | Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio | |
| When | Final/10 | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Texas Rangers and the Cleveland Guardians meet Sunday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Texas Rangers will send out Patrick Corbin here and Corbin is 7-11 with a 4.34 ERA and 126 strikeouts this season. In his career, Corbin is 1-1 with a 4.03 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the Guardians. The Cleveland Guardians did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.
Texas Rangers Recap
The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to rebound from their 3-2 loss at the hands of the Guardians in Saturday’s matchup to drop to 81-80 this season.
Rangers Looking To Finish With Winning Record
Corey Seager has 103 hits including 21 home runs and 50 RBIs while Adolis Garcia has 113 hits with 28 doubles, 18 home runs, 74 RBIs and 13 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 117 hits with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 60 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 118 hits with 25 doubles, 22 home runs, 62 RBIs and 22 stolen bases and Jonah Heim has 11 homers and 43 RBIs. Josh Smith has chipped in 124 hits with 23 doubles, 10 home runs and 35 RBIs with 12 stolen bases and Marcus Semien’s added 108 hits with 16 doubles, 15 homers and 62 RBIs but has 93 strikeouts this season.
Cleveland Guardians Recap
The Cleveland Guardians come into this game looking to finish strong after their win over the Rangers from Saturday’s clash to improve to 87-74 on the year.
Guardians Headed To Postseason
Steven Kwan has 169 hits as part of a .275 batting average and 11 home runs, 29 doubles and 56 RBIs. Kyle Manzardo has 107 hits with 18 doubles, 2 triples, 26 home runs and 68 RBIs as well this year. Gabriel Arias has 24 doubles but also 157 strikeouts and Manzardo has 132 strikeouts so far this season. Arias has also added 11 home runs and 53 RBIs and Jose Ramirez has chipped in 30 home runs and 85 RBIs with 40 stolen bases as well.
Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends: September 28, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Allen Record this season: 8-11 ERA: 4.14
- Home Record: 4-7
- Last 5 against Rangers: 0-1
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Rangers have lost each of their last seven day games at Progressive Field following a loss.
- The Guardians have won 10 of their last 11 day games against AL West opponents following a home win.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following a road loss.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Rangers at Progressive Field following a win.
- The Rangers have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games.
- The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against the Rangers at Progressive Field.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin Record this season: 7-11 ERA: 4.34
- Road Record: 4-5
- Last 5 against Guardians: 1-1
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Guardians have lost five of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rangers have won five of their last six day games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Rangers’ last eight games.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games at Progressive Field following a win.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Guardians’ last 10 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rangers’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last eight games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Guardians’ last nine day games against AL West opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Steven Kwan has recorded a Double in four of the Guardians’ last five day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three day games.
- Will Brennan has recorded at least one hit in each of his six previous home appearances against the Rangers.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Josh Jung has recorded a Double in three of the Rangers’ last four road games.
- Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
- Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last nine games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for hits this season (1188).
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.225).
- The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.45).
- The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (596).
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction
I’m leaning towards Cleveland here. The Guardians have clinched a playoff spot but are still trying to secure home field for the wild card matchup against the Tigers and the AL Central title. The Rangers found a creative way to lose on Saturday with a walkoff hit by pitch, and I just think that the Guardians are the play here. Give me Cleveland.