| MATCHUP | Rangers Texas | Mets New York |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 79-70 | 76-73 |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Saturday, September 13, 2025 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | Rangers Sports Network | |
In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Mets Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 13th at the Citi Field the opening game of this series, with the Rangers having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 76-72 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL East. The Mets have a 45-28 home record and are 70-70 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-8 home defeat by the Rangers, and have seven consecutive losses. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 games and are playing the Padres and the Nationals next.
The Mets have a .249 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .426 slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 155 hits, while Pete Alonso leads the team in batting average with .265. He also adds a team-high 114 RBI, while Juan Soto adds team-high 39 home runs.
Brandon Sproat (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 0-1 record, 4.50 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.
Texas Rangers Preview
The Texas Rangers have a 78-70 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 31-42 road record and are 66-79 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-3 road victory over the Mets, and are 6-1 in their last 7 games. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 games and are playing the Astros and the Marlins next.
The Rangers have a .237 batting average this season, .306 OBP and .387 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 119 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .256 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 73, while Corey Seager adds a team-high 21 home runs.
Patrick Corbin (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 7-9 record, 4.36 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.
Texas Rangers @ New York Mets Betting Trends: September 13, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Sproat Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 4.50
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Rangers: –
Why the New York Mets will win
- The home team has won six of the Mets’ last seven games.
- The Rangers have lost six of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against the Rangers.
- The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against the Rangers.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games at Citi Field against AL West opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin Record this season: 7-9 ERA: 4.36
- Road Record: 4-5
- Last 5 against Mets: 2-3
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last seven games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
- The underdogs have won each of the Rangers’ last six games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rangers’ last seven games.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rangers have won the first inning in five of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Rangers’ last nine day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mets’ last 10 day games against AL West opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Starling Marte has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Rangers.
- Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against the Rangers.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites.
- Juan Soto ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.398) this season.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Patrick Corbin has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
- Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Corey Seager has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (135).
- The Mets rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (517).
- The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.43).
- The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (542).
Rangers vs Mets Prediction
The Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings against the Rangers, but the Rangers are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in New York. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Rangers vs Mets Prediction, the Mets are coming as -160 home favorites. Sproat did not look good in his first start of the season and now has to face a red-hot Rangers team, while the Mets have been on a free fall lately. I never rush to the window to back Corbin, but he has two quality starts in his last three starts, and the Rangers have a better bullpen, while the Mets are weaker against left-handed pitching. I like the odds with the road dog in this one, so take the Texas Rangers for plus money in this one.