Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Player Prop Picks 5/13/25 NBA Picks

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder are set to clash in Game 5 of their Western Conference Semifinals series on Tuesday, May 13, 2025, at 9:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The series is currently tied 2–2, with both teams showcasing their strengths in the previous games.

In Game 4, the Thunder secured a 92–87 victory in Denver, reclaiming home-court advantage. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City with 25 points, while Nikola Jokić paced the Nuggets with 27 points. The game was marked by defensive intensity, resulting in a combined 179 points—the lowest total in this postseason. As the series returns to Oklahoma City, the Thunder are favored by 10.5 points, with an over/under set at 220.5 points. Oklahoma City boasts a formidable 38–7 home record this season and will look to capitalize on its depth and home-court advantage.

Check out Brad’s BEST PICKS, including his $19 PICK OF THE DAY!

Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 Points

Jokic is averaging 29.6 points per game, ranking third in the NBA. His scoring efficiency was remarkable, with a field goal percentage of 57.6% and a three-point shooting percentage of 41.7%. Additionally, he converted 80.0% of his free-throw attempts. Jokic is the best player in the world at the moment, but after his 42-point performance in game 1 of this series, he has yet to score over 27 points. He’s only scored 27 points twice in his last 10 games. Defenders are making it a point to slow down Jokic and force other guys on this Denver team to score the ball. 

Aaron Gordon Over 6.5 Rebounds

Gordon is averaging 4.8 rebounds per game. This included 1.6 offensive rebounds and 3.3 defensive rebounds per contest. In the postseason, Gordon elevated his performance, averaging 6.7 rebounds per game over 10 playoff appearances. Notably, he recorded a game-high 16 rebounds in game 4 of this series. Gordon has been doing it all for the Nuggets and has been taking a lot of weight off Jokic’s shoulders. 

Jamal Murray Over 19.5 Points

Jamal Murray is averaging 21.4 points per game, ranking 26th in the league. His scoring efficiency was notable, with a field goal percentage of 47.4%, a three-point shooting percentage of 39.3%, and a free-throw percentage of 88.6%. The two games Denver won in this series Murray eclipsed 20 points in the 2 games they lost he didn’t. If Denver wants to win this series they’ll need to utilize Murray more and I think this Nuggets coaching staff knows that. 

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above