Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 5/14/25 NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Wednesday in the NBA playoffs Game 5 at the Target Center. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview 

The Golden State Warriors need a win to force a game 6 on Sunday. The Warriors have won 13 of their last 22 games. The Warriors are 3-3 SU on the road in these playoffs. The Warriors haven’t lost four straight games since November 25 – December 3. 

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 102.5 points on 43.1 percent shooting and allowing 104.7 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 22.6 points and 5.1 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 19.1 points and 5.1 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and Buddy Hield is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.4 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Timberwolves look to make the conference finals back-to-back years, and for the third time in franchise history. The Timberwolves have won 24 of their last 30 games since March 2. The Timberwolves are 3-1 SU at home in these playoffs. 

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 106.8 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 100.1 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27 points and 8.1 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 23.3 points and 6 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won eight of their last nine home games.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last five games at Target Center following a home loss.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Target Center against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games at Target Center following a home loss.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Timberwolves have lost four of their last five playoff games as home favorites following a win.
• The Warriors have won seven of their last eight road games following a loss.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five playoff home games following a win.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Mike Conley ranks 5th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (4.3) this season.
• Jaden McDaniels rank T8th in the league for total steals + blocks (184) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Kevon Looney ranks 4th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (14.6) this season.
• Gary Payton II ranks 8th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.0) this season.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report 

The Warriors will be without Stephen Curry due to a hamstring strain. A potential game 6 is Curry’s possible return date. The Warriors are 7-8 SU this season without Curry.

The Timberwolves don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

I’ve said that the Warriors don’t have enough offense without Curry to scare the Timberwolves. Jimmy is passive more times than not, Hield is streaky, Kuminga doesn’t get consistent minutes, and Podziemski continues to be atrocious. You’re looking at this roster and wondering where the points are going to come from. With that said, this is an experienced Warriors team with guys who know how to win this time of year and grind out games they shouldn’t win. The last two games were competitive, which is encouraging.

It may look dark now, but find a way to win this game, and the next game isn’t until Sunday, which buys Curry lots of time to get right. This will be just the second time since 2008 where the Warriors are a double-digit underdog in the playoffs. It’s simply a lot of points. I’ll lean Warriors and the buckets in game 5.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Golden State Warriors +11