Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction 9/14/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

Nikos Lagouretos

2 months ago

Dec 8, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Atlanta Falcons quarterback Kirk Cousins (18) and Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (14) talk after the game at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Falcons Atlanta	Vikings Minnesota
Team Records	0-1	1-0
Where	U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
When	Sunday, September 14, 2025
Time	08:20 PM EDT
TV	NBC

In this article, we will formulate a Falcons vs Vikings Prediction for this NFL Week 2 game on Sunday, September 14th at the U.S. Bank Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Minnesota Vikings Preview

Minnesota is coming off a 27-24 road victory in Chicago in their season opener last week. They covered the spread and the game went under the 48.5-point total. Minnesota got outgained by their opponents by 317-254 yards. They had 13/20 completed passes, 134 passing yards, 120 rushing yards, with turnovers being 1-0. The Vikings went 3-12 in third down efficiency and had 6-60 penalties, and they were 1-2 in the red zone.

J.J. McCarthy had 13/20 passes, a team-high 134 passing yards, one touchdown but also threw one interception. Aaron Jones added a team-high 65 rushing yards, while Justin Jefferson caught 5 passes for 84 yards. Defensively, Ivan Pace Jr. had 11 total tackles, eight of them solo, while Jonathan Bullard had one sack. Byron Murphy Jr. had one interception for 12 yards.

Atlanta Falcons Preview

Atlanta is coming off a 20-23 home defeat by Tampa Bay in their season opener last week. They covered the spread and the game went under the 48.5-point total. Atlanta outgained their opponents by 358-260 yards. They had 27/42 completed passes, 289 passing yards, 69 rushing yards, with turnovers being 0-0. The Falcons went 6-15 in third down efficiency and had 8-55 penalties and were 1-2 in the red zone.

Michael Penix Jr. had 27/42 passes, a team-high 289 passing yards, one touchdown and no interceptions. Tyler Allgeier added a team-high 24 rushing yards, while Bijan Robinson caught 6 passes for 100 yards. Defensively, A.J. Terrell Jr. had 6 total tackles, six of them solo, while Divine Deablo had 0.5 sacks. The Falcons did not record any interceptions in this game.

Atlanta Falcons @ Minnesota Vikings Betting Trends: Week 2

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

The Vikings have won each of their last seven games against opponents on a losing streak.
The Falcons have lost seven of their last eight Sunday games.
The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Sunday games as underdogs.
The Vikings have covered the spread in each of their last five games in September.
The Vikings have won the first quarter in five of their last six Week 2 home games against NFC opponents.
The home team has won the first half in each of the Vikings’ last 10 Week 2 games.
The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 11 games as home favorites against NFC opponents.

Why the Atlanta Falcons will win

The underdogs have won five of the last seven games between the Falcons and Vikings.
The Vikings have lost three of their last four home games against teams that held a losing record.
The Falcons have covered the spread in each of their last four road games when playing with a rest advantage.
The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as home favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
The Falcons have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
The Vikings have lost the first quarter in four of their last five September games as favorites.
The Vikings have lost the first half in seven of their last eight Week 2 games.

Total Points Facts

Each of the Vikings’ last four home openers have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Falcons’ last four September games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

Adam Thielen has recorded 29+ receiving yards in each of his 12 previous September appearances at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Aaron Jones has recorded 69+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six regular season home appearances against NFC South opponents.
Aaron Jones has scored two or more touchdowns in four of his last five September appearances with his team as a home favorite.
Aaron Jones has recorded 53+ rushing yards in each of his last six regular season home appearances against NFC South opponents.
Aaron Jones has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight September appearances with his team as a home favorite.
Heading into Week 2, Javon Hargrave has recorded the equal-most sacks in a single game this season (2 vs Bears, Week 1).

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

Bijan Robinson has scored two touchdowns in three of the Falcons’ last four games.
Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last six games against NFC opponents.
Tyler Allgeier has recorded 24+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last nine games following a home loss.
Kirk Cousins has recorded 273+ passing yards in each of his last eight appearances at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Ray-Ray McCloud has recorded 42+ receiving yards in each of the Falcons’ last four games as underdogs following a loss.
Ray-Ray McCloud has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Falcons’ last four games as underdogs following a loss.
Kirk Cousins has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last eight appearances at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Heading into Week 2, Michael Penix Jr. ranks T1st in the league for batted pass attempts (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Vikings – one different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 2.
Heading into Week 2, the Vikings rank 1st in the NFL in punt return yards per game (68.0) this season.
Falcons – four different players have recorded 50+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 2.
Falcons – one different players have recorded 100+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 2.

Falcons vs Vikings Prediction

In their only meeting last season, Minnesota won 42-21 at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total. The Vikings are 6-1 in their last 7 head-to-head meetings against the Falcons, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Minnesota. They are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 meetings, and their last three meetings have gone over the total.

In this Falcons vs Vikings Prediction, the Vikings are coming as -5-point home favorites, with the total set at 45.5 points. Minnesota are coming off a win in their season opener, and are now playing their first game in front of their home crowd, where they have been almost perfect last season, with an 8-1 record. They were also a strong 11-6-1 against the spread, while the Falcons were just 6-10-1 ATS. I don’t think the Falcons will get their first win on the road, where the Vikings have dominated them, so take the Minnesota Vikings and lay the -5 points at home in this one.