Philadelphia Eagles (14-3) vs Green Bay Packers (11-6)
Game Info: Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 4:30 pm (Lincoln Financial Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 — Over/Under: 44.5
In this article, we will formulate a Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, January 12th at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFC Wild Card matchup.
Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
The Green Bay Packers are 11-6 this year after they lost to Chicago by a score of 24-22 in their last game. Green Bay trailed 14-13 at halftime, but they took a 22-21 lead with 54 seconds left, before losing on a 51-yard field goal as time expired. The Packers outgained Chicago by a total of 367-224, tied the turnover battle at two, and went 3-10 on third down in the game. Jordan Love threw for 69 yards on seven completions, while Emanuel Wilson rushed for 73 yards and one score in the game.
Green Bay finished the season by losing to the Bears and Vikings, but they have won five of their last eight games. The Packers picked up four losses against Minnesota and Detroit, so they really dominated the rest of their schedule. The GB offense has scored 27.1 points per game with 223.9 passing yards and 146.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 19.9 points per game this season. Jordan Love has completed 63.1% of his passes for 3,389 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Josh Jacobs has rushed for 1,329 yards and 15 scores this year.
Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Eagles are 14-3 this season after they defeated the Giants by a score of 20-13 in their last game. Philadelphia led 10-0 at halftime and they were able to add 10 points in the fourth quarter to maintain the lead. The Eagles outgained New York by a total of 303-238, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 3-14 on third down in the game. Tanner McKee led Philadelphia with 269 yards and two touchdowns, while Jahan Dotson caught seven passes for 94 yards in the win.
Philadelphia finished the season by picking up wins against the Giants and Cowboys, but they did lose to the Commanders by a score of 36-33. The Eagles have won 12 of their last 13 games, but Jalen Hurts remains questionable for this matchup. The Philadelphia offense has scored 27.2 points per game with 187.9 passing yards and 179.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 17.8 points per game this season. Jalen Hurts (questionable) has completed 68.7% of his passes for 2,903 yards, 18 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Saquon Barkley has rushed for 2,005 yards and 13 scores this year.
The First Meeting
Philadelphia picked up a 34-29 win over Green Bay in week one in a game that was in Brazil, and it was a very entertaining way to start the season. Green Bay led 19-17 at halftime and 26-24 in the fourth quarter, but the Eagles found a way to finish strong and get the win. The Eagles were outgained by a total of 414-410, lost the turnover battle 3-1, and went 4-14 on third down in the game.
Why the Eagles will beat the Packers
- The Eagles have won each of their last seven games at Lincoln Financial Field.
- The Packers have lost each of their last five games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Eagles have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites following a Division win.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Packers have lost the first half in four of their last five Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Packers have won the first quarter in each of their last two games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
Why the Packers will beat the Eagles
- The Packers have won 10 of their last 12 games as underdogs following a Division game.
- The Eagles have lost six of their last seven Wild Card Round games.
- The Packers have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs following a Division game.
- The Eagles have lost the first half in six of their last seven Wild Card Round games.
- The Eagles have lost the first quarter in each of their last three Wild Card Round games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Eagles’ last eight games in January has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Packers’ last eight road games in January have gone OVER the total points line.
Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts
- Jalen Hurts has recorded 221+ passing yards in four of his last five appearances at Lincoln Financial Field.
- Jalen Hurts has recorded 39+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances with the Eagles as favorites following a win.
- Saquon Barkley has recorded 124+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five appearances against NFC opponents.
- Jalen Hurts has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Eagles’ last six games at Lincoln Financial Field against teams with a winning record.
- Grant Calcaterra has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of the Eagles’ last six Sunday home games.
- Heading into the Wild Card Round, Saquon Barkley ranked 1st in the NFL in rushing attempts (345) during the reg. season.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last seven games against NFC opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 76+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Romeo Doubs has recorded 50+ receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last three games as underdogs following a loss.
- Christian Watson has recorded 86+ rushing and receiving yards in three of his last four appearances following a home loss.
- Heading into the Wild Card Round, Karl Brooks ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Eagles ranked T1st in the NFL in forced fumbles (22) during the reg. season.
- Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Eagles were the only team in the NFL to allow fewer than 300.0 total yards per game during the reg. season.
- Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Packers ranked 1st in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (3.8) during the reg. season.
- Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Packers ranked 1st in the NFL in Q1 win percentage (70.6) during the reg. season.
Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction
Philadelphia comes into this matchup with one of the best records in the NFC this season, but there will be plenty of doubt in this game if Hurts is unable to play. I do believe Hurts is going to play in this matchup, which means the Eagles offense will be poised for a big game. Green Bay has a strong offensive attack as well, so I think we could see a higher-scoring game here. The Packers will be missing one of their best receivers on the outside, but I think Love can make enough plays to score 20-24 points. Take the over here.