Dallas Cowboys (7-9) vs Washington Commanders (11-5)
Game Info: Sunday, January 5, 2025 at 1:00 pm (AT&T Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Cowboys +4.5 / Washington Commanders -4.5 — Over/Under: 44
The Washington Commanders and the Dallas Cowboys meet in week 18 NFL action from AT&T Stadium on Sunday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys prediction.
Washington Commanders Recap
The Washington Commanders come into this game looking to finish the season on a high note after improving to 11-5 on the year thanks to a 30-24 OT win over Atlanta in their last game. The Commanders have clinched a playoff spot, but where they finish is still to be decided as they control their own fate for the #6 seed.
Commanders Win 4th Straight
Jayden Daniels has thrown for 3,530 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions on 69.4% passing while also rushing for 864 yards and 6 touchdowns. Brian Robinson Jr. has 789 rushing yards with 8 touchdowns while Terry McLaurin leads the Commanders with 74 receptions for 1,034 yards and 12 touchdowns. Zach Ertz has 610 receiving yards while Noah Brown has 453 receiving yards and Olamide Zaccheaus has 455 receiving yards on the year. On defense, Bobby Wagner has a team-high 124 total tackles including 71 solo tackles and a pair of sacks while Dante Fowler Jr. has a team-high 10.5 sacks. Frankie Luvu has 8 sacks as well on the year while Dorance Armstrong also has 3 sacks. As a unit, Washington has combined for 41 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Washington Commanders Will Win
- The Cowboys have lost seven of their last eight Sunday games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Commanders have won seven of their last eight games following a home win.
- The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The favorites have covered the spread in six of the Cowboys’ last seven games at AT&T Stadium.
Dallas Cowboys Recap
The Dallas Cowboys come into this game looking to play spoiler for their division rival, dropping to 7-9 on the year after a 41-7 loss at the hands of the Philadelphia Eagles last time out. The Cowboys will be missing the playoffs for the first time since the 2020 season.
Cowboys Looking To Play Spoiler And Finish Season On High Note
Cooper Rush has thrown for 1,844 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 60.7% passing while Rico Dowdle leads the Cowboys on the ground with 1,007 rushing yards as well on the year. CeeDee Lamb leads Dallas with 101 receptions for 1,194 yards and 6 touchdowns while Jalen Tolbert has 512 receiving yards with 7 scores and Jake Ferguson also has 482 receiving yards. On defense, Eric Kendricks has a team-high 133 total tackles along with 3 sacks while Micah Parsons has a team-high 9.5 sacks and DeMarvion Overshown has 5 sacks on the year. As a unit, Dallas’ defense has combined for 46 sacks and 13 interceptions this season.
Why the Dallas Cowboys will win
- The Cowboys have won 14 of their last 15 home games against the Commanders following a loss.
- The Commanders have lost seven of their last eight games at AT&T Stadium.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games after coming off overtime.
- The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Commanders.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Commanders’ last nine games at AT&T Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the last nine games between the Commanders and Cowboys at AT&T Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last four games between NFC East teams has gone OVER the total points line.
Commanders vs. Cowboys Prediction
I’m on the Commanders here. The Cowboys are trying to play spoiler but couldn’t do anything against the Eagles sans Jalen Hurts last week, and now I expect them to try to slow down the Commanders who are still fighting for something. And a Commanders team with a dual threat in Jayden Daniels and Brian Robinson Jr.? No thanks. The only concern is if the Packers are getting demolished and Washington catches wind of this and calls off the dogs, but against a rival, I don’t think they will. Washington wins, they get the 6-seed and don’t have to hope for a Packers loss. I think Washington gets it done here so give me the Commanders laying the points.