Carolina Hurricanes (47-30-5) vs Washington Capitals (51-22-9)
May 12, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Carolina Hurricanes -238 / Washington Capitals +195 — Over/Under: 5.5
In this article we will formulate a Capitals vs Hurricanes prediction for this NHL game on Monday, May 12th at the Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup in the 2nd round of the playoffs.
Washington Capitals Betting Preview
The Washington Capitals are down 2-1 in the series after they lost game three by a score of 4-0 last time out. Washington allowed two goals in the second period and two more in the third in the shutout loss. The Capitals recorded 21 shots on goal, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Washington was led by Ovechkin, who had four shots on goal, while Tom Wilson added 11 hits in the loss. Logan Thompson started in net for the Capitals and he saved 24 out of 28 shots in the game.
Prior to that game, Washington won game two by a score of 3-1, but did lose game one by a score of 2-1. In the first round, the Capitals defeated the Canadiens in five games and they allowed two goals or fewer in all four victories. Washington has scored 3.49 goals per game and they have allowed 2.79 goals against per game, while also going 23.5% on the power play and 82% on the penalty kill this season. Dylan Strome has led Washington with two goals, eight assists, and 12 shots on goal, while Tom Wilson has added three goals, four assists, and 16 shots on goal. Logan Thompson is 5-3 with a 2.26 goals against average and a .922 save percentage in the postseason.
Carolina Hurricanes Betting Preview
The Carolina Hurricanes are looking to take a 3-1 lead in the series after they won game three by a score of 4-0. Carolina was slightly outplayed over the first 30 minutes of the game, but they scored twice in the second period and cruised to the win. The Hurricanes recorded 28 shots on goal, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 2-2 on the power play in the game. Carolina got goals from Blake, Robinson, Roslovic, and Svechnikov, while Andersen stopped all 21 shots in the win.
Prior to this series, Carolina defeated New Jersey in five games in the first round. Carolina went 1-1 at home in that series and they scored 4+ goals in three of the four wins. The Hurricanes have scored 3.24 goals per game and they have allowed 2.81 goals against per game, while also going 18.7% on the power play and 83.6% on the penalty kill this season. Sebastian Aho has led Carolina with three goals, six assists, and 19 shots on goal, while Seth Jarvis and Andrei Svechnikov have both added seven points in the playoffs. Frederik Andersen is 5-2 with a 1.32 goals against average and a .940 save percentage so far in the postseason.
Why the Capitals will beat the Hurricanes
- The Capitals have won four of their last six games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last four road games against the Hurricanes following a road loss.
- The Hurricanes have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games following a win.
- The Hurricanes have lost the first period in four of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Capitals’ last four games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Five of the Hurricanes’ last six night games following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the last three games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 12 of the Capitals’ last 15 road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The ‘Under 0.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Capitals and Hurricanes.
Carolina Hurricanes Player Prop Facts
- Andrei Svechnikov has scored a goal in three of the Hurricanes’ last four home games.
- Sebastian Aho has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Hurricanes’ last 11 home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Seth Jarvis has recorded at least one point in 16 of the Hurricanes’ last 17 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Taylor Hall has recorded two assists against the Capitals this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts
- Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in nine of the Capitals’ last 12 games against the Hurricanes at Lenovo Center.
- Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in four of the Capitals’ last five games at Lenovo Center.
- Dylan Strome has recorded at least one point in 13 of the Capitals’ last 15 night games.
- Aliaksei Protas ranks 1st amongst qualified Metropolitan Division players for shooting percentage (21.1%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Carolina Hurricanes rank 25th in the league in power play percentage this season (18.70%).
- The Carolina Hurricanes rank 1st in the league for shots against per game this season (24.9).
- The Washington Capitals are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
- The Washington Capitals rank T8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.79).
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Capitals vs Hurricanes Prediction
Washington comes into this matchup trying to tie the series at two, but they will have to deal with a Carolina team that was 31-9-1 at home in the regular season. I thought the Capitals played pretty well in the first 30 minutes of game three, but they couldn’t capitalize on any of their chances. Carolina has played very solid defense for most of this series and Andersen has been spectacular, but Thompson has also been very good for the Caps. I expect another lower scoring game in this series, but I am going to take a shot with the Capitals and this big plus money price, as I think Thompson gives them a chance to win.