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Carolina Hurricanes vs Washington Capitals Prediction 5/15/25 NHL Picks
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Washington Capitals (51-22-9) vs Carolina Hurricanes (47-30-5)
May 15, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Capitals +142 / Carolina Hurricanes -170 — Over/Under: 5.5
In this article, we will formulate a Hurricanes vs Capitals prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, May 15, at the Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Carolina Hurricanes Betting Preview
The Carolina Hurricanes (54-31-6, 42-49 ATS) are one step away from making it to the Eastern Conference Finals. After taking the home-ice advantage by winning one of the opening two games of the series against the Washington Capitals on the road, the Canes then won both home games and now have a commanding 3-1 lead. In the most recent 5-2 victory, Shayne Gostisbehere, Seth Jarvis, Taylor Hall, Sean Walker, and Andrei Svechnikov scored for the Hurricanes, while Frederik Andersen saved 19 of 21 shots he faced.
The Hurricanes score 3.44 goals per game on average in the playoffs (5th), while they concede 1.89 GPG (1st). This postseason, Sebastian Aho leads the team with 10 points (3 G and 7 A). Seth Jarvis has 8 points (3 G and 5 A), while Andrei Svechnikov chips in with 8 points (7 G and 1 A).
Frederik Andersen (6-2-0) is expected to start for the Hurricanes in the goal on Thursday against the Capitals. The 35-year-old is allowing 1.41 goals per game this playoffs with a .935 SV% and one shutout.
Washington Capitals Betting Preview
The Washington Capitals (56-25-10, 51-40 ATS) are in a 3-1 hole and the regular-season Eastern Conference champions are facing elimination from the playoffs. The Caps scored just two goals in two road games against the Hurricanes, and they must improve offensively if they want to stay alive in this series. In the latest 5-2 defeat in Carolina, Jakob Chychrun and Alex Ovechkin scored for the Capitals, while Logan Thompson stopped 33 of 37 shots he faced.
The Capitals average 2.67 goals per game this postseason (12th), while they allow 2.67 GPG (3rd). Dylan Strome leads the team with 11 points (2 G and 9 A). Tom Wilson contributes 7 points (3 G and 4 A), while Alex Ovechkin has 6 points (5 G and 1 A).
Logan Thompson (5-4-0) will likely take his place in the cage for the Capitals on Thursday against the Hurricanes. The 28-year-old is allowing 2.46 goals per game this playoffs with a .918 SV% and no shutouts.
Why the Capitals will beat the Hurricanes
- The Hurricanes have lost four of their last five games as road favorites following a win.
- The Capitals have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against the Hurricanes.
- The Hurricanes have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as home underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Hurricanes have lost the second period in seven of their last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents when tied after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Capitals’ last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Eight of the Hurricanes’ last 10 games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Three of the last four games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 17 of the Hurricanes’ last 18 Thursday night games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in nine of the Capitals’ last 10 games following a road loss.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Washington Capitals are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
- The Washington Capitals rank T8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.79).
- The Carolina Hurricanes rank 25th in the league in power play percentage this season (18.70%).
- The Carolina Hurricanes rank 1st in the league for shots against per game this season (24.9).
Hurricanes vs Capitals Prediction
The Hurricanes won six of the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the Canes lead the series 5-3. The Canes are a better team in this series and deserved to advance to the ECF, but I am backing the Capitals to win and live for another day. In order to win, though, the Capitals have to score at least three goals against the best defense in the playoffs. I am sure Alex Ovechkin and co. can do that and cut the deficit in series to 3-2. Go with Washington.
