Edmonton Oilers (60-32-7) vs Dallas Stars (62-27-11)
June 2, 2024 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Edmonton Oilers -140 / Dallas Stars +120 — Over/Under: 5.5
In this article we will formulate a Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers prediction for NHL game 6 on Sunday, June 2nd at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. To formulate this prediction for game six in the series, we will examine:
- The Stars recent form and recent player performance
- The Oilers recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Dallas
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Edmonton
- Recent betting trends in games played between Dallas and Edmonton
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Dallas and Edmonton
Stars Trying to Avoid Elimination
The Dallas Stars come into this game facing elimination after they lost game five at home by a score of 3-1 on Friday. Dallas has struggled at home throughout the postseason, but they have been great on the road all year. Dallas is 6-2 on the road in the playoffs this year and they were the best road team in the regular season. The Stars did lose game four in Edmonton by a score of 5-2, but won game three by a score of 5-3.
Dallas defeated Vegas in seven games in the first round and they beat Colorado in six games in the second round. The Stars are scoring 2.83 goals per game, while going 21.4% on the power play and 71.4% on the penalty kill. Jason Robertson, Wyatt Johnston, and Miro Heiskanen have 16 points this postseason, while Jamie Benn has added 15 points.
Edmonton Defending Home Ice
The Edmonton Oilers are one win away from reaching the Stanley Cup Finals, but they have to put away a Dallas team that is great on the road. Edmonton won game five in Dallas by a score of 3-1. The Oilers out shot Dallas by a total of 26-20, went 2-3 on the power play, and blocked 25 shots on goal. Edmonton is 5-3 on home ice this postseason and they were 28-9-4 at home during the regular season.
Edmonton defeated the LA Kings in five games in the first round and they defeated the Vancouver Canucks in seven games in the second round. The Oilers are scoring 3.59 goals per game, while going 34.7% on the power play and 93.5% on the penalty kill. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton this postseason with four goals, 25 assists, and 53 shots on goal, while Leon Draisaitl has added 10 goals, 17 assists, and 57 shots on goal.
Starting Goalies
The projected starting goalie for Edmonton is Stuart Skinner, who is 10-5 this postseason with a 2.60 goals against average and an .890 save percentage. Skinner has had some rough moments this postseason, but he has been great in the last two games. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 10-8 this postseason with a 2.25 goals against average and a .917 save percentage. Oettinger has been outstanding this postseason and is a big reason the Stars have made it this far.
Why the Edmonton Oilers will win
- The Oilers have won each of their last 11 home games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Stars have lost four of their last five games at Rogers Place following a loss.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 12 games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Stars have lost the third period in four of their last five night games at Rogers Place.
Total Goals Facts
- Ten of the Stars’ last 11 road games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Four of the last five night games between the Stars and Oilers at Rogers Place have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Oilers’ last nine games as home favorites.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last five night games at Rogers Place.
Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts
- Evan Bouchard has scored a goal in four of the Oilers’ last five home games.
- Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in five of the Oilers’ last six games against Western Conference opponents at Rogers Place.
- Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last nine Sunday games.
- Connor McDavid ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (26) this season.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in four of the Stars’ last five road playoff games against Pacific Division opponents.
- Jamie Benn has recorded at least one assist in four of the Stars’ last five playoff games.
- Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one point in seven of the Stars’ last eight games against the Oilers at Rogers Place.
- Jason Robertson ranks 1st in the Central Division for shootout goals (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Edmonton Oilers are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
- The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for shots per game this season (33.8).
- The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.17%).
- The Dallas Stars rank T8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.83).
Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction
Dallas comes into this game down 3-2 in the series and facing elimination, but they have plenty of confidence playing on the road. Edmonton is looking to finish the series with a win here, and their penalty kill has been historically good during this playoff run. The Oilers are also getting some good depth scoring, which was absent during the first two rounds of the playoffs. I know Dallas is comfortable playing on the road, but it just feels like Edmonton has figured out how to play them, and I don’t think the Stars are going to make it out of Edmonton. My Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers prediction is for the Oilers to get the win.