Stars vs Jets Prediction 5/15/25 NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Stars vs Jets prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, May 15th at the Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup in the 2nd round of the playoffs.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are up 3-1 in this series and they will look to eliminate Winnipeg after winning game four by a score of 3-1. Dallas led 1-0 after the first period, but they needed a goal late in the second to reclaim the lead, before adding an insurance goal in the third for the win. The Stars recorded 24 shots on goal, won 48.9% of the face-offs, and went 2-4 on the power play in the game. Dallas got all three of their goals from Granlund, while Granlund also led the team with six hits in the win. Jake Oettinger stopped 31 out of 32 shots in the game, which was good for a .969 save percentage. 

Prior to that win, the Stars won games one and three by scores of 3-2 and 5-2, but did lose game two by a score of 4-0. In the first round, Dallas defeated Colorado in seven games, but they had to overcome a third period deficit in game seven to advance. Dallas has scored 3.35 goals per game and they have allowed 2.71 goals against per game, while also going 22% on the power play and 82% on the penalty kill this season. Mikko Rantanen has led Dallas with nine goals, 10 assists, and 32 shots on goal, while Roope Hintz has added five goals, five assists, and 32 shots on goal. Jake Oettinger is 7-4 with a 2.55 goals against average and a .917 save percentage in the postseason. 

Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview

The Winnipeg Jets are facing elimination in this game after they lost game four by a score of 3-1 last time out. Winnipeg tied the game at one early in the second period and they had plenty of chances to score throughout the game, but their lack of finishing resulted in another frustrating loss. The Jets recorded 32 shots on goal, won 51.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Winnipeg got their only goal from Ehlers, while Iafallo added six hits in the loss. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 21 out of 24 shots in the game, which was an .875 save percentage. 

Prior to this series, the Jets also won their first round series in seven games against Colorado. Winnipeg went 4-0 at home in that series, but they played very poorly on the road. The Jets have scored 3.35 goals per game and they have allowed 2.32 goals against per game, while also going 28.9% on the power play and 79.4% on the penalty kill this season. Kyle Connor has led Winnipeg with five goals, nine assists, and 38 shots on goal, while Mark Scheifele has added three goals, five assists, and 18 shots on goal. Connor Hellebuyck is 5-6 with a 3.48 goals against average and an .851 save percentage this postseason. 

Why the Jets will beat the Stars 

• The home team has won 11 of the Jets’ last 12 games.
• The Stars have lost each of their last three road games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Jets have covered the puck line in five of their last six home games against the Stars following a road loss.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games at Canada Life Centre following a win.
• The Stars have lost the first period in six of their last seven road games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Stars and Jets at Canada Life Centre have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Stars’ last eight night games following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Three of the last four games between two teams from the Central Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last seven games at Canada Life Centre against opponents on a losing streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in five of the Jets’ last six games as home favorites.

Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts

• Josh Morrissey has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances against the Stars.
• Kyle Connor has scored a goal in each of the Jets’ last three Game 5s of a playoff series.
• Mark Scheifele has recorded at least one point in each of his last 13 appearances with the Jets as home favorites.
• Mark Scheifele ranks 1st amongst qualified Central Division players for shooting percentage (21.5%) this season.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Miro Heiskanen has recorded an assist in each of his last six appearances.
• Mikko Rantanen has scored at least one goal in four of the Stars’ last five playoff games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one point in eight of his last nine appearances in Game 5s of a playoff series.
• Esa Lindell ranks T2nd in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+34) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Winnipeg Jets rank T3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.35).
• The Winnipeg Jets are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
• The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
• The Dallas Stars are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.

Stars vs Jets Prediction 

Winnipeg comes into this matchup down 3-1 in the series, but they will be on home ice, where they have been very good all season. The Jets have played pretty well in this series and they have generated chances, but they have done a horrible job of finishing those chances. I think we are going to see a desperate Winnipeg team get off to a fast start in this game and I think the energy from being at home in a must win game is going to give them the advantage. Take the Jets here. 

David Racey's Pick: Jets ML