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Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction 5/12/25 NHL Picks

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Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5) vs Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10)

May 12, 2025 at 09:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Edmonton Oilers -130 / Vegas Golden Knights +110 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Vegas Golden Knights and Edmonton Oilers meet Monday in the NHL playoffs Game 4 at the Rogers Place. Here’s a Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction. This article will include a Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Pick.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview 

The Vegas Golden Knights look for another win to even up the series at 2-2. The Golden Knights have won three straight road playoff games. The Golden Knights have scored three or more goals in five of their last six games. 

The Vegas Golden Knights are averaging 3.11 goals per game and are scoring on 29.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Mark Stone leads Vegas with 4 goals, Jack Eichel has 9 assists, and Tomas Hertl has 24 shots on goal. Defensively, the Vegas Golden Knights are allowing 3.44 goals per game and are killing 80 percent of their opponents’ power plays. Ilya Samsonov has given up 0 goals on 9 shots faced, while Adin Hill has allowed 29 goals on 227 shots.

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview 

The Edmonton Oilers look for a win to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Oilers have won five of their last six home playoff games. The Oilers haven’t lost two straight games since April 21 -23. 

The Edmonton Oilers are averaging 4.33 goals per game and are scoring 30 percent of their power play opportunities. Leon Draisaitl leads Edmonton with 5 goals, Connor McDavid has 13 assists, and Evan Bouchard has 28 shots on goal. Defensively, the Edmonton Oilers are allowing 3.78 goals per game and are killing 62.1 percent of their opponents’ power plays. Stuart Skinner has given up 15 goals on 82 shots faced, and Calvin Pickard has allowed 19 goals on 170 shots.

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

  • The Oilers have won each of their last seven night Game 4s of a playoff series.
  • The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven night games.
  • The Oilers have covered the puck line in four of their last five games.
  • The Oilers have won the second period in four of their last five home games against Pacific Division opponents when tied after the first period.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

  • The underdogs have won six of the last seven games between the Golden Knights and Oilers.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in 10 of the Golden Knights’ last 11 games.
  • The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 14 games as favorites following a loss.
  • The Oilers have lost the second period in five of their last six home games.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

  • Evan Bouchard has scored at least one goal in six of the Oilers’ last seven night Game 4s of a playoff series.
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last eight playoff games against Pacific Division opponents at Rogers Place.
  • Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Oilers’ last nine Game 4s of a playoff series.
  • Leon Draisaitl ranks 1st in the league for multi-point games (36) this season.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

  • Reilly Smith has scored at least one goal in each of the Golden Knights’ last three playoff games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Tomas Hertl has recorded a point in each of his last nine Monday night road appearances.
  • Jack Eichel has recorded at least one assist in each of the Golden Knights’ last six playoff games against Western Conference opponents.
  • Brayden McNabb ranks 1st in the Pacific Division for Plus/Minus (+42) this season.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Injury Report 

Brandon Saad is questionable for the Vegas Golden Knights.

The Edmonton Oilers will be without Alec Regula, Calvin Pickard, and Mattias Ekholm.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction

You can make a case for the Golden Knights and the plus money because the road team has won each of the last four games and five of the last six. I’m still going to side with the Oilers because we’re not getting enough bang for our buck. The Oilers have to feel like they let game 3 get away after starting the game with a 2-0 lead, and they’re an experienced team that should be able to get off the canvas. The Oilers worked hard to steal two games in Vegas and it would be a mistake to let that go to waste and allow the Golden Knights back in this series. At some point a home team has to win between these teams. I’d need more plus money to give Vegas a serious look. Give me the Oilers and the cheap price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Edmonton Oilers -130

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