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Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Prediction 5/11/25 NHL Picks
Pick details
Dallas Stars (50-26-6) vs Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4)
May 11, 2025 at 04:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Stars -148 / Winnipeg Jets +124 — Over/Under: 5.5
In this article, we will formulate a Jets vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, May 11, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview
The Winnipeg Jets (61-26-4, 44-47 ATS) needed seven games to eliminate the St. Louis Blues in Round 1 of the playoffs. They lost the opening game of the second round against the Dallas Stars and lost the home-ice advantage, but managed to bounce back in Game 2 with a 4-0 victory. Nikolaj Ehlers scored a pair of goals, while Gabriel Vilardi and Adam Lowry also found the back of the net for the Jets. Connor Hellebuyck registered his first shutout of the playoffs as he stopped all 21 shots he faced.
The Jets average 3.00 goals per game this postseason (10th), while they allow 3.33 GPG (9th). Kyle Connor leads the team with 12 points (4 G and 8 A). Mark Scheifele contributes 8 points (3 G and 5 A), while Mason Appleton has 7 points (0 G and 7 A).
Connor Hellebuyck (5-4-0) will likely take his place in the cage for the Jets on Sunday against the Stars. The 31-year-old is allowing 3.32 goals per game this playoffs with a .854 SV% and one shutout.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars (55-30-6, 42-49 ATS) were also involved in a seven-game Round 1 series against the Colorado Avalanche, but managed to advance and beat the Jets in the opening game of this series. Still, the Stars lost the following game 4-0, which was the second time this postseason they failed to score. Jake Oettinger saved 21 of the 24 shots he faced.
The Stars score 2.67 goals per game on average in the playoffs (12th), while they concede 3.33 GPG (9th). This postseason, Mikko Rantanen leads the team with 15 points (8 G and 7 A). Roope Hintz has 8 points (4 G and 4 A), while Wyatt Johnston chips in with 7 points (3 G and 4 A).
Jake Oettinger (5-4-0) is expected to start for the Stars in the goal on Sunday against the Jets. The 26-year-old is allowing 2.79 goals per game this playoffs with a .910 SV% and no shutouts.
Why the Stars will beat the Jets
- The Stars have won each of their last nine Sunday home games.
- The Jets have lost five of their last six Game 3s of a playoff series.
- The Jets have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight road games against Central Division opponents.
- The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last six Sunday home games.
- The Stars have won the first period in each of their last four games as home favorites following a road loss.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Jets’ last six games against the Stars following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the last four day games between the Jets and Stars have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Six of the last eight day games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in six of the Stars’ last seven day games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Jets’ last nine games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
- The Dallas Stars are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
- The Winnipeg Jets rank T3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.35).
- The Winnipeg Jets are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
Jets vs Stars Prediction
The teams have traded wins in the last couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the Jets lead the series 4-2. The Stars still have a home-ice advantage after winning Game 1, but they must win on Sunday to maintain that advantage. I am backing them to do it after failing to score a single goal in Game 2. I am sure they will bounce back just like they did when they previously failed to score against the Avalanche. In the next games, they bagged six goals. Although I doubt they will score six here, I am still backing them to get the win.
