Aston Villa (17-9-9) vs Bournemouth (14-10-11)
May 10, 2025 at 12:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Bournemouth +145 / Aston Villa +165 — Over/Under: 3
Aston Villa will visit Bournemouth on Saturday, May 10, 2025, at the Vitality Stadium in this Week 36 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction. We will examine:
Bournemouth recent form and player performance
Aston Villa recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Bournemouth
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Aston Villa
Recent betting trends in games played between the Aston Villa and Bournemouth
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Aston Villa vs Bournemouth game
Bournemouth Preview
AFC Bournemouth has 53 points this season and is sitting on the 8th place of the Premier League standings. Bournemouth has a 14-10-11 record this season and have a 7-6-4 home record. Bournemouth is coming off a 2-1 road victory over Arsenal, and have been undefeated in their last 5 games with two wins and three draws. Bournemouth has been struggling at home lately, as they are 1-3-1 in their last 5 home games. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 overall games, but over is 4-2 in their last 6 home games. Both teams to score – Yes is 8-2 in their last 10 games.
AFC Bournemouth is averaging 1.57 goals per game, which is tied for 9th in the league, while allowing 1.20 goals per game, which is tied for 4th. Justin Kluivert is the top scorer for AFC Bournemouth this season with 12 total goals, while Evanilson follows with 10 goals. Justin Kluivert is also the team’s best passer, with 6 total assists.
Aston Villa Preview
Aston Villa has 60 points this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the Premier League standings. Aston Villa has a 17-9-9 record this season and have a 7-8-2 road record. Aston Villa is coming off a 1-0 home victory over Fulham, ending their previous two-game losing streak. They are 1-3 in their last 4 road games across all competitions. Over is 11-1 in their last 12 overall games, and 9-1 in their last 10 road games.
Aston Villa is averaging 1.57 goals per games, which is tied for 9th in the league, while allowing 1.40 goals per game, which is 11th in the league. Ollie Watkins is the top scorer for Aston Villa this season with 15 total goals, while Morgan Rogers follow with 8 goals. Morgan Rogers is also the team’s top passer, with 8 assists made.
Why Bournemouth will win
- The home team has won four of Aston Villa’s last five EPL matches.
Why Aston Villa will win
- Aston Villa has won six of its last seven EPL matches.
- Aston Villa has won each of its last six EPL Saturday matches.
- Aston Villa has won four of its last five EPL matches following a league win.
- Aston Villa has won three of its last four EPL away matches.
- Bournemouth has lost four of its last six EPL Saturday matches as a home favorite.
- Bournemouth has lost four of its last six EPL home matches.
Total Points Facts
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in five of Bournemouth’s last six EPL matches as a favorite.
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of Bournemouth’s last nine EPL matches.
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in three of Bournemouth’s last four EPL home matches.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Aston Villa’s last 10 EPL matches as an underdog.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Aston Villa’s last six EPL matches.
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction
Their previous meeting earlier this season ended in a 1-1 draw in Villa Park. Both teams are a balanced 4-4-2 in their last 10 meetings and Bournemouth is 2-0-1 in their last 3 meetings in Vitality Stadium. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 overall meetings.
In this Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. Villa is being undervalued in this spot, as they have been the better team this season. Both teams have still something to play for, and with Villa having fallen off the top-5 places of the Premier League that lead to next season’s Champions League, I simply don’t see them losing in this game. This game has the draw written all over it, but I really love the value of Aston Villa PK in this spot.