Brentford (12-12-5) vs Newcastle United (14-9-5)
Game Info: Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 2:45 pm ET (St. James' Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Newcastle United -125 — Over/Under: 3.25
Brentford will visit Newcastle United on Wednesday, April 2nd, 2025, at the St. James’ Park in this Week 30 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Brentford vs Newcastle United Prediction. We will examine:
Newcastle United recent form and player performance
Brentford recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Newcastle United
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Brentford
Recent betting trends in games played between the Brentford and Newcastle United
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Brentford vs Newcastle United game
Newcastle United Preview
Newcastle has 47 points this season and are tied with Brighton on the 6th place of the Premier League standings. Newcastle has a 14-9-5 record this season and have a 7-4-2 home record. They are coming off a 2-1 road victory against Liverpool in the EFL Cup, which was their second straight win. Over is 5-2 in their last 7 overall games, and 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
Newcastle is averaging 1.68 goals per game, which is 10th in the league, while allowing 1.36 goals per game, which is tied for 8th in the league. Alexander Isak is the top scorer for Newcastle this season with 19 total goals, while Anthony Gordon follows with 6 goals. Jacob Murphy is the team’s top passer, with 7 assists made.
Brentford Preview
Brentford have 41 points this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the Premier League standings. Brentford has a 12-12-5 record this season and have a 5-7-2 road record. Brentford is coming off a 2-1 road victory against Bournemouth and have been red-hot on the road lately, with five consecutive wins against Leicester City, West Ham, Crystal Palace, Southampton and Bournemouth. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 overall games, but over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Brentford is averaging 1.72 goals per game, which is the 6th-best in the league, while allowing 1.55 goals per game, which is tied for 14th in the league. Bryan Mbeumo is the top scorer for Brentford this season with 15 total goals, while Yoane Wissa follows with 13 goals. Mikkel Damsgaard is the team’s top passer, with 9 assists made.
Why Newcastle United will win
- Newcastle United has won five of its last six EPL matches against Brentford.
- Newcastle United has won seven of its last nine league matches against Brentford.
- Brentford has lost seven of its last nine EPL away matches following a league win.
Why Brentford will win
- Brentford has won each of its last three EPL matches as an underdog.
- Brentford has won each of its last three EPL matches as an away underdog.
- Brentford has won each of its last five EPL away matches.
- Brentford has lost four of its last five EPL Wednesday away matches.
- The underdog has won five of Brentford’s last seven EPL matches.
- Newcastle United has lost each of its last three EPL matches following a league win.
Total Points Facts
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of Newcastle United’s last eight league matches as a favorite against Brentford.
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in four of Newcastle United’s last five EPL matches as a favorite.
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last three EPL home matches.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last seven EPL home matches.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Newcastle United’s last seven EPL matches as a favorite.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 12 of Newcastle United’s last 15 EPL matches.
Brentford vs Newcastle United Prediction
Both teams are tied 1-1 wins this season, with each one winning at home. Newcastle won by 3-1 for the EFL Cup, and Brentford 4-2 for the Premier League. Newcastle is 6-1 in their last 7 overall meetings against Brentford, and 5-0-2 in their 7 home meetings. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 overall meetings, and 6-1 in their last 7 home meetings.
In this Brentford vs Newcastle United Prediction, Newcastle is coming as -125 home favorites. Newcastle is rightfully favored, as they have more points this season, but they have been unstable at home lately, while Brentford is red-hot on the road. I see no value on either side, so I will focus on the total, where both teams have combined for 4 and 6 total goals in their two meetings this season. Newcastle is a strong 11-1 to the over at home, while Brentford 4-1 to the over on the road. Lay a bit more juice and take this Over 3 goals at -150.