Liverpool (25-2-7) vs Chelsea (17-8-9)
Game Info: Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 11:30 am ET (Stamford Bridge)
The Line: Betting Odds: Chelsea +110 / Liverpool +220 — Over/Under: 3
Liverpool will visit Chelsea on Sunday, May 4, 2025, at the Stamford Bridge in this Week 35 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction. We will examine:
Chelsea recent form and player performance
Liverpool recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Chelsea
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Liverpool
Recent betting trends in games played between the Liverpool and Chelsea
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Liverpool vs Chelsea game
Chelsea Preview
Chelsea has 60 points this season and are tied with Nottingham Forest on the 5th place of the Premier League standings. Chelsea has a 17-8-9 record this season and have a 10-2-5 home record. Chelsea is coming off a 4-1 road victory over Djurgårdens IF for the Europa Conference League on Thursday. They have three consecutive wins and have been extremely strong at home lately, with a 7-1-1 record in their last 9 home games. Over is 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Chelsea is averaging 1.74 goals per game, which is the 6th-best in the league, while allowing 1.18 goals per game, which is the third-best. Cole Palmer is the top scorer for Chelsea this season with 14 total goals, while Nicolas Jackson follows with 10 goals. Cole Palmer is also the team’s top passer, with 8 assists made.
Liverpool Preview
Liverpool has 82 points this season and is sitting on the first place of the Premier League standings, and have already been crowned champions. Liverpool has a 25-2-7 record this season and have a 11-1-5 road record. Liverpool is coming off 5-1 home victory against Tottenham, and now have three consecutive wins. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games.
Liverpool is averaging 2.35 goals per game, which is the best in the league, while allowing 0.94 goals per game, which is the second-best. Mohamed Salah is the top scorer for Liverpool this season with 28 total goals, while Luis Diaz follows with 12 goals. Mohamed Salah is also the team’s best passer, with 18 total assists.
Why Chelsea will win
- Chelsea has won six of its last seven EPL home matches.
- Chelsea has won each of its last four EPL home matches following a league win.
- Chelsea has won five of its last six EPL home matches following a league win.
- The home team has won 10 of Chelsea’s last 13 EPL matches.
- The favorite has won seven of Chelsea’s last nine EPL matches.
Why Liverpool will win
- Liverpool has won nine of its last 10 EPL day matches.
- Liverpool has won seven of its last eight EPL matches.
- Liverpool has won each of its last three EPL matches.
- Liverpool has won three of its last four EPL matches at Stamford Bridge following a league win.
Total Points Facts
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Liverpool’s last six EPL matches as an underdog.
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in four of Chelsea’s last five EPL home matches.
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in six of Chelsea’s last eight EPL matches.
- The ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Chelsea’s last four EPL home matches.
- The ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Chelsea’s last seven EPL matches.
Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction
In their previous meeting earlier this season, Liverpool won at home with a 2-1 score. Liverpool is 5-0-5 in their last 10 meetings against Chelsea, and 4-0-3 in their last 7 visits in Stamford Bridge. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 overall meetings, and 7-1 in their last 8 meetings in Stamford Bridge.
In this Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, Chelsea is coming as +110 home favorites. The wrong team is favored in this spot, as Liverpool has been the better team this season, but they have already been crowned champions, and are likely to rest some key players in this game. On the other hand, Chelsea needs every win they can get in order to stay on the top-5 of the Premier League that leads to next season’s UEFA Champions League.
Chelsea is in a tough scheduling spot, as they are sandwiched between two mid-week games, so I see no value on either side. Both teams have been playing offensive football, and are 8-1 to the over in their last 9 games combined. I expect a lot of goals, as both teams average 4.09 goals per game combined, so take the over 3 goals in this one.