Manchester United (10-17-9) vs Chelsea (18-9-9)
May 16, 2025 at 03:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Chelsea -275 / Manchester United +650 — Over/Under: 3.25
Manchester United will visit Chelsea on Friday, May 16, 2025, at the Stamford Bridge in this Week 37 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Manchester United vs Chelsea Prediction. We will examine:
Chelsea recent form and player performance
Manchester United recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Chelsea
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Manchester United
Recent betting trends in games played between the Manchester United and Chelsea
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Manchester United vs Chelsea game
Chelsea Preview
Chelsea has 63 points this season and are tied with Aston Villa on the 5th place of the Premier League standings. Chelsea has a 18-9-9 record this season and have a 11-2-5 home record. Chelsea is coming off a 0-2 road defeat by Newcastle, ending their previous five-game winning streak. They have three straight home wins and are 9-1-1 in their last 11 home games.
Chelsea is averaging 1.72 goals per game, which is 7th-best in the league, while allowing 1.19 goals per game, which is tied for third-best. Cole Palmer is the top scorer for Chelsea this season with 15 total goals, while Nicolas Jackson follows with 10 goals. Cole Palmer is also the team’s top passer, with 8 assists made.
Manchester United Preview
Manchester United has 39 points this season and are sitting on the 16th place of the Premier League standings, having mathematically avoided relegation. Manchester United has a 10-17-9 record this season and have a 4-8-6 road record. Manchester United FC is coming off a 0-2 home defeat by West Ham. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 overall games and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road.
Manchester United is averaging 1.17 goals per game, which is 16th in the league, while allowing 1.47 goals per game, which is tied for 12th. Bruno Fernandes is the top scorer for Manchester United FC this season with 8 total goals, while Amad Diallo Traoré follows with 7 goals. Bruno Fernandes is also the team’s top passer, with 9 assists made.
Why Chelsea will win
- Chelsea has won eight of its last nine EPL home matches following a league loss.
- Chelsea has won eight of its last nine EPL matches at Stamford Bridge following a league loss.
- Chelsea has won seven of its last eight EPL home matches.
- Chelsea has won seven of its last eight EPL matches as a home favorite.
- The home team has won 12 of Chelsea’s last 15 EPL matches.
- Manchester United has lost four of its last five EPL matches.
Why Manchester United will win
- Manchester United has won three of its last four EPL Friday night matches.
- Manchester United has won eight of its last 12 EPL night matches following a league loss.
Total Points Facts
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of the last seven EPL matches between Chelsea and Manchester United.
- The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Manchester United’s last five EPL matches at Stamford Bridge.
- The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Chelsea’s last five EPL home matches against Manchester United.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Chelsea’s last 12 EPL home matches.
Manchester United vs Chelsea Prediction
Their previous meeting this season ended with a 1-1 draw in Old Trafford. Both teams are a perfectly balanced 2-2-6 record in their last 10 overall meetings, and 1-1-3 in their last 5 meetings in Stamford Bridge. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings and Both teams to score – Yes has hit in their last seven meetings.
In this Manchester United vs Chelsea Prediction, Chelsea is coming as huge -275 home favorites. Chelsea is rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season, and the only team in this matchup with incentive to play, as they are trying to stay within the top-5 of the league that leads to next season’s UEFA Champions League.
United may have their focis on the upcoming Europa League Final, but the last time they lost by 2 goals or more by Chelsea in the Premier League was back in 2016. The majority of their meetings has been draws, with six draws in their last 10 meetings, and 3 draws in their last 5 in Stamford Bridge, and with the moneyline at an ultra-high -275, there is huge value with United at a +1.5 Asian Handicap.